{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dd3a722d-51b3-4f28-9172-f1cf13cc21c6",
    "symbol": "ACGR",
    "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY LARGE CAP GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 51.167,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.702,
    "architecture_energy": 28.108,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.962,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.959,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.12,
        "rotation_up": 36.14,
        "upward_expansion": 61.59,
        "deceleration": 87.06,
        "rotation_down": 27.52,
        "downward_expansion": 16.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.391233,
        68.176881,
        68.179237,
        66.988402
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 70.8315,
    "trend_reference": 65.701824,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078075,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.276212,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25864,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.439395,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.117187,
    "excess_performance": -0.008437,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078075,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012701,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25864,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017179,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034394,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00662,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117187,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.762008,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2422,
      "relative_activity": 0.38025,
      "balance": 1.762008,
      "dry_up": 0.284834,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031597,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.190752,
      "from_high_reference": -0.019431,
      "from_low_reference": 0.2355
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 65.701824,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.276212,
      "structural_low": 57.330242,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.004294,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002823,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.119996,
        "worst_return": -0.112368,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.061007,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010442,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.12918,
        "worst_return": -0.173418,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.043172,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013309,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.224237,
        "worst_return": -0.019576,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.145024,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017211,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.332716,
        "worst_return": -0.23555,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.039002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080133,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.117875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.139261,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054497,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017901,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 7652.55,
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        "fair_value": 53.729702,
        "relative_strength": -3.122816,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 7568.95,
        "trend": 64.456809,
        "fair_value": 53.93172,
        "relative_strength": -2.777398,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 69.474789,
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        "typical_volume": 7497.85,
        "trend": 64.610426,
        "fair_value": 54.131632,
        "relative_strength": -1.986657,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "direction": 45.445091,
        "energy": 77.699099,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 70.355841,
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        "typical_volume": 7535.35,
        "trend": 64.750416,
        "fair_value": 54.332236,
        "relative_strength": -1.562235,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.583813,
        "energy": 82.407999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 7319.55,
        "trend": 64.877794,
        "fair_value": 54.535439,
        "relative_strength": -1.665639,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 82.668088,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 68.855274,
        "volume": 1529,
        "typical_volume": 7333.35,
        "trend": 64.996676,
        "fair_value": 54.723981,
        "relative_strength": -2.47574,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.895408,
        "energy": 74.70753,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 68.0344,
        "volume": 2781,
        "typical_volume": 7329.7,
        "trend": 65.089191,
        "fair_value": 54.89943,
        "relative_strength": -4.091237,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 55.981107,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 7178.6,
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        "fair_value": 55.084941,
        "relative_strength": -3.263798,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 50.190489,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 66.9639,
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        "typical_volume": 6667.5,
        "trend": 65.299004,
        "fair_value": 55.251204,
        "relative_strength": -4.007211,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.685428,
        "energy": 30.787471,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 68.0296,
        "volume": 339,
        "typical_volume": 6564.3,
        "trend": 65.348234,
        "fair_value": 55.42693,
        "relative_strength": -4.429645,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 25.013739,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 121,
        "typical_volume": 6456.7,
        "trend": 65.469776,
        "fair_value": 55.601509,
        "relative_strength": -3.999802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.528095,
        "energy": 30.482848,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 67.1216,
        "volume": 437,
        "typical_volume": 6287.9,
        "trend": 65.515879,
        "fair_value": 55.763966,
        "relative_strength": -5.266134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.082735,
        "energy": 23.538735,
        "activity_lines": [
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          67.646339,
          66.485327
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.7977,
        "volume": 2717,
        "typical_volume": 6282.2,
        "trend": 65.482201,
        "fair_value": 55.914192,
        "relative_strength": -6.418005,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.494403,
        "energy": 16.904135,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.204993,
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          67.625717,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.7206,
        "volume": 1681,
        "typical_volume": 6271.6,
        "trend": 65.554059,
        "fair_value": 56.083868,
        "relative_strength": -4.575837,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.522586,
        "energy": 13.666649,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.304853,
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          67.770607,
          66.647922
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.8315,
        "volume": 2422,
        "typical_volume": 6369.5,
        "trend": 65.701824,
        "fair_value": 56.276212,
        "relative_strength": -3.439395,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.702037,
        "energy": 28.10829,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}