{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd5c6be7-2d16-4fe3-a9ca-b5d49791c5f5", "symbol": "PBEE", "name": "PensionBee Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 88.101, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.423, "architecture_energy": 11.774, "architecture_maturity": 88.835, "architecture_confidence": 70.962, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.53, "rotation_up": 29.17, "upward_expansion": 16.31, "deceleration": 43.94, "rotation_down": 25.7, "downward_expansion": 63.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 133.833333, 131.054545, 133.795238, 137.22043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 147.5, "trend_reference": 142.966667, "distance_from_trend": 0.031709, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 139.444551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.057768, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.637637, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.083851, "excess_performance": -0.135086, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031709, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067406, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.057768, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015119, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096376, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07408, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.083851, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.449156, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 715359, "relative_activity": 1.383348, "balance": 1.449156, "dry_up": 0.960383, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065585, "annualized_volatility": 0.306332, "from_high_reference": -0.140067, "from_low_reference": 0.239496 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 142.966667, "fair_value_reference": 139.444551, 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151.566667, "fair_value": 136.533013, "relative_strength": -21.436862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.834908, "energy": 59.430612, "activity_lines": [ 136.366667, 139.254545, 142.421429, 146.547312 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 130.5, "volume": 330397, "typical_volume": 846741.2, "trend": 150.8, "fair_value": 136.927244, "relative_strength": -20.61463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.135712, "energy": 65.603893, "activity_lines": [ 133.9, 137.209091, 140.916667, 145.188172 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 125.0, "volume": 429130, "typical_volume": 560565.4, "trend": 149.483333, "fair_value": 137.266987, "relative_strength": -24.336818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.681181, "energy": 76.319706, "activity_lines": [ 130.233333, 134.463636, 139.038095, 143.523656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 128.0, "volume": 129766, "typical_volume": 554271.05, "trend": 148.416667, "fair_value": 137.611859, "relative_strength": -23.049478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.912602, "energy": 75.557399, "activity_lines": [ 128.7, 132.718182, 137.616667, 142.137634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 129.0, "volume": 468025, "typical_volume": 550086.25, "trend": 147.416667, "fair_value": 137.928526, "relative_strength": -20.439937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.01976, "energy": 68.296439, "activity_lines": [ 128.3, 131.463636, 136.409524, 140.884946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 122.0, "volume": 302030, "typical_volume": 524230.8, "trend": 146.083333, "fair_value": 138.242628, "relative_strength": -24.827946, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.450916, "energy": 68.319925, "activity_lines": [ 126.033333, 129.245455, 134.654762, 139.245161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 125.0, "volume": 172151, "typical_volume": 520592.85, "trend": 144.75, "fair_value": 138.586218, "relative_strength": -23.252742, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.014864, "energy": 52.059932, "activity_lines": [ 125.4, 127.9, 133.347619, 137.884946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 130.5, "volume": 797000, "typical_volume": 540166.9, "trend": 143.55, "fair_value": 138.961218, "relative_strength": -20.256291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.656004, "energy": 43.354491, "activity_lines": [ 126.966667, 127.827273, 132.730952, 136.965591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 147.5, "volume": 715359, "typical_volume": 517121.6, "trend": 142.966667, "fair_value": 139.444551, "relative_strength": -9.637637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.422894, "energy": 11.774379, "activity_lines": [ 133.833333, 131.054545, 133.795238, 137.22043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }