{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dd60840e-67ca-4f23-b94f-ace472000601",
    "symbol": "PPLN",
    "name": "Global X Equal Weight Canadian Pipelines Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 81.717,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.729,
    "architecture_energy": 32.225,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.564,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.167,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.72,
        "rotation_up": 41.57,
        "upward_expansion": 69.74,
        "deceleration": 63.41,
        "rotation_down": 27.05,
        "downward_expansion": 13.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.841505,
        14.864544,
        14.648114,
        14.327706
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 14.165,
    "trend_reference": 13.784855,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.027577,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.922665,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.296845,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.55352,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.149039,
    "excess_performance": 0.028618,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027577,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093382,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.296845,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003958,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005535,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044121,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149039,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.221477,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 444200,
      "relative_activity": 1.389189,
      "balance": 1.221477,
      "dry_up": 0.842442,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043656,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.239102,
      "from_high_reference": -0.093654,
      "from_low_reference": 0.324176
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.784855,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.922665,
      "structural_low": 12.199584,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.002354,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00083,
        "regime_survival": 0.763158,
        "best_return": 0.156826,
        "worst_return": -0.111328,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.009574,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.091489,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.022676,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028923,
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        "worst_return": -0.033885,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.002425,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.025225,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 325180.0,
        "trend": 13.427031,
        "fair_value": 10.814967,
        "relative_strength": 11.59384,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.388031,
        "energy": 54.851588,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.568888,
        "volume": 118800,
        "typical_volume": 312885.0,
        "trend": 13.56734,
        "fair_value": 10.854891,
        "relative_strength": 12.648998,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.657816,
        "energy": 57.281326,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.20918
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.92,
        "volume": 237100,
        "typical_volume": 315735.0,
        "trend": 13.680503,
        "fair_value": 10.890941,
        "relative_strength": 8.222226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.366527,
        "energy": 50.720308,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.127331,
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          14.662568,
          14.296448
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.165,
        "volume": 444200,
        "typical_volume": 319755.0,
        "trend": 13.784855,
        "fair_value": 10.922665,
        "relative_strength": -0.55352,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.729222,
        "energy": 32.224725,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.841505,
          14.864544,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}