{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd62ae67-48f3-4a1d-9191-0e89ad47a761", "symbol": "MRU", "name": "Metro Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.989, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.351, "architecture_energy": 14.72, "architecture_maturity": 15.02, "architecture_confidence": 67.846, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.09, "rotation_up": 28.67, "upward_expansion": 22.97, "deceleration": 29.2, "rotation_down": 33.81, "downward_expansion": 54.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.249332, 92.333999, 91.752626, 92.141618 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 90.349998, "trend_reference": 92.925914, "distance_from_trend": -0.02772, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 85.456941, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.057258, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.023082, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.047932, "excess_performance": -0.168353, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02772, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018583, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.057258, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006605, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043146, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047932, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.567417, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2513200, "relative_activity": 1.25914, "balance": 1.567417, "dry_up": 1.105944, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036036, "annualized_volatility": 0.142158, "from_high_reference": -0.136013, "from_low_reference": 0.037075 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 92.925914, "fair_value_reference": 85.456941, "structural_low": 87.120003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.007718, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.013925, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.075613, "worst_return": -0.081175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.017349, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.017455, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.074854, "worst_return": -0.044186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009862, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.062544, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.162412, "worst_return": -0.066777, "sufficient": false 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4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.979367, "energy": 10.546335, "activity_lines": [ 92.856666, 92.432545, 91.786935, 92.332791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 93.18, "volume": 2381100, "typical_volume": 1999060.0, "trend": 93.164093, "fair_value": 85.311193, "relative_strength": -10.217413, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.776888, "energy": 12.754475, "activity_lines": [ 93.031332, 92.675454, 91.901208, 92.323173 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.349998, "volume": 2513200, "typical_volume": 1995965.0, "trend": 92.925914, "fair_value": 85.456941, "relative_strength": -15.023082, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.35061, "energy": 14.720359, "activity_lines": [ 92.249332, 92.333999, 91.752626, 92.141618 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }