{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dd75868f-fa2d-42b1-bea9-c24272033f93",
    "symbol": "ACRS",
    "name": "Aclaris Therapeutics Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.083,
    "architecture_energy": 56.021,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.647,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.499,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.76,
        "rotation_up": 62.73,
        "upward_expansion": 81.0,
        "deceleration": 67.04,
        "rotation_down": 19.48,
        "downward_expansion": 7.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.532,
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        5.021571,
        4.699957
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 5.91,
    "trend_reference": 4.279,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.381164,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.586319,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.285101,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 52.049044,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.655462,
    "excess_performance": 0.468009,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.381164,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.221757,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.285101,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.626657,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.52049,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088599,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.655462,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.89427,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15414894,
      "relative_activity": 1.88573,
      "balance": 1.89427,
      "dry_up": 1.306755,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.100147,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.552591,
      "from_high_reference": -0.092863,
      "from_low_reference": 2.740506
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.279,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.586319,
      "structural_low": 2.75,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.013699,
        "positive_rate": 0.411765,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014038,
        "regime_survival": 0.588235,
        "best_return": 1.248521,
        "worst_return": -0.284211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.311466,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.770131,
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        "worst_return": -0.149405,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.510714,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.2,
        "volume": 11134785,
        "typical_volume": 7789084.6,
        "trend": 4.17,
        "fair_value": 2.601126,
        "relative_strength": 43.327229,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 62.855317,
        "energy": 56.141485,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.91,
        "volume": 15414894,
        "typical_volume": 8174498.7,
        "trend": 4.279,
        "fair_value": 2.586319,
        "relative_strength": 52.049044,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.08257,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}