{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd773042-cc7b-4065-a1c2-b7f2c8b95a69", "symbol": "AWC", "name": "Brook Crompton Holdings Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 62.036, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.088, "architecture_energy": 19.401, "architecture_maturity": 21.412, "architecture_confidence": 74.666, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.62, "rotation_up": 29.76, "upward_expansion": 55.95, "deceleration": 86.0, "rotation_down": 26.37, "downward_expansion": 17.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.617, 0.617727, 0.616501, 0.60937 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.625, "trend_reference": 0.596905, "distance_from_trend": 0.047068, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.516999, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.2089, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.158732, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.132441, "excess_performance": -0.022394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047068, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051638, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.2089, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018559, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061587, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119073, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132441, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.678571, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7400, "relative_activity": 0.527441, "balance": 0.678571, "dry_up": 0.598717, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032, "annualized_volatility": 0.328674, "from_high_reference": -0.067164, "from_low_reference": 0.290984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.596905, "fair_value_reference": 0.516999, "structural_low": 0.542222, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.001833, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.087151, "worst_return": -0.1127, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.004011, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.032748, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.220867, "worst_return": -0.087262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.019162, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.091666, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.09878, "worst_return": -0.15188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 0.61, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 28645.0, "trend": 0.591886, "fair_value": 0.515097, "relative_strength": -7.029808, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.876789, "energy": 19.839337, "activity_lines": [ 0.616, 0.618455, 0.614669, 0.606253 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.61, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17575.0, "trend": 0.594791, "fair_value": 0.516014, "relative_strength": -7.463302, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.155396, "energy": 18.238119, "activity_lines": [ 0.614, 0.616545, 0.614859, 0.607421 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.625, "volume": 7400, "typical_volume": 14030.0, "trend": 0.596905, "fair_value": 0.516999, "relative_strength": -6.158732, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.087796, "energy": 19.4009, "activity_lines": [ 0.617, 0.617727, 0.616501, 0.60937 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }