{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd878551-b085-4651-8d63-30b05e62c1ab", "symbol": "PDJE", "name": "Amundi PEA S&P US Industrials Screened UCITS ETF - Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.557, "architecture_energy": 51.116, "architecture_maturity": 81.025, "architecture_confidence": 69.248, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.69, "rotation_up": 50.47, "upward_expansion": 76.87, "deceleration": 68.63, "rotation_down": 27.67, "downward_expansion": 12.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.342333, 48.304727, 47.177262, 46.197935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 48.744999, "trend_reference": 45.018667, "distance_from_trend": 0.082773, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.187326, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.276471, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.385859, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.111757, "excess_performance": 0.058446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082773, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060444, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.276471, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057903, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.063859, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018874, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111757, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.543142, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25315, "relative_activity": 1.588756, "balance": 1.543142, "dry_up": 1.673513, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029849, "annualized_volatility": 0.146417, "from_high_reference": -0.020103, "from_low_reference": 0.26874 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.018667, "fair_value_reference": 38.187326, "structural_low": 40.865002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.006983, "positive_rate": 0.435897, "directional_follow_through": 0.435897, "median_excess_return": -0.000932, "regime_survival": 0.717949, "best_return": 0.111865, "worst_return": -0.078422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.010581, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.027635, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.108976, "worst_return": -0.12684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.026643, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.06331, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.137465, "worst_return": -0.115541, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.35635, "energy": 89.121949, "activity_lines": [ 48.441, 47.421454, 46.014428, 45.179054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 48.25, "volume": 22087, "typical_volume": 13909.2, "trend": 44.254833, "fair_value": 37.841813, "relative_strength": 10.729998, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.619359, "energy": 85.424867, "activity_lines": [ 48.508666, 47.724454, 46.329, 45.45472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.145, "volume": 25340, "typical_volume": 14285.3, "trend": 44.5535, "fair_value": 37.961588, "relative_strength": 12.021619, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.893895, "energy": 77.112102, "activity_lines": [ 48.732667, 48.126545, 46.711595, 45.770215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.220001, "volume": 33920, "typical_volume": 15425.0, "trend": 44.781833, "fair_value": 38.069826, "relative_strength": 5.755517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.287838, "energy": 53.174848, "activity_lines": [ 48.229, 48.100454, 46.883024, 45.942247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.744999, "volume": 25315, "typical_volume": 15933.85, "trend": 45.018667, "fair_value": 38.187326, "relative_strength": 6.385859, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.556797, "energy": 51.116157, "activity_lines": [ 48.342333, 48.304727, 47.177262, 46.197935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }