{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd92f896-bd9e-45b8-8c35-1c36f004d582", "symbol": "QSIX", "name": "PACER METARUS NASDAQ 100 DIVIDEND MULTIPLIER 600 ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.644, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.087, "architecture_energy": 26.8, "architecture_maturity": 67.886, "architecture_confidence": 83.452, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.1, "rotation_up": 28.98, "upward_expansion": 57.9, "deceleration": 88.17, "rotation_down": 30.25, "downward_expansion": 19.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.597349, 41.861101, 41.741092, 40.657485 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.7241, "trend_reference": 39.338252, "distance_from_trend": 0.08607, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.807261, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227448, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.431339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.163355, "excess_performance": -0.024099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08607, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045534, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227448, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018496, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.014313, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00681, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.163355, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.458252, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19078, "relative_activity": 1.450087, "balance": 1.458252, "dry_up": 1.009277, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036259, "annualized_volatility": 0.194875, "from_high_reference": -0.031698, "from_low_reference": 0.270959 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.338252, "fair_value_reference": 34.807261, "structural_low": 33.615653, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04091, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030906, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.016881, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.053799, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 29.877943, "volume": 8111, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.542925, "volume": 13279, "typical_volume": 12714.15, "trend": 39.036467, "fair_value": 34.661893, "relative_strength": -1.243527, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.693032, "energy": 23.952693, "activity_lines": [ 41.501471, 42.031027, 41.448919, 40.311403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.8458, "volume": 9797, "typical_volume": 12680.25, "trend": 39.169152, "fair_value": 34.725644, "relative_strength": -1.008268, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.174324, "energy": 22.888567, "activity_lines": [ 41.199427, 41.760173, 41.51784, 40.428134 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.7241, "volume": 19078, "typical_volume": 13156.45, "trend": 39.338252, "fair_value": 34.807261, "relative_strength": -1.431339, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.086575, "energy": 26.799913, "activity_lines": [ 41.597349, 41.861101, 41.741092, 40.657485 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }