{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd96d964-028f-48c9-b1e4-d7846115acb5", "symbol": "SAFX", "name": "XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.983, "architecture_energy": 9.156, "architecture_maturity": 18.848, "architecture_confidence": 45.962, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.25, "rotation_up": 30.35, "upward_expansion": 46.35, "deceleration": 70.62, "rotation_down": 28.66, "downward_expansion": 31.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.4083, 0.416885, 0.426233, 0.410618 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.3903, "trend_reference": 0.364837, "distance_from_trend": 0.069794, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.834699, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.898219, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -44.473583, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.10859, "excess_performance": 0.921136, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069794, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085882, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.898219, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00715, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.444736, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.38861, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.10859, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.63911, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7622235, "relative_activity": 0.17449, "balance": 0.63911, "dry_up": 0.276551, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.296025, "annualized_volatility": 2.001306, "from_high_reference": -0.748194, "from_low_reference": 2.293671 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.364837, "fair_value_reference": 3.834699, "structural_low": 0.151, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.295996, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.292577, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.295996, "worst_return": -0.295996, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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44.949294, "energy": 35.635957, "activity_lines": [ 0.4636, 0.439516, 0.439062, 0.404113 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.4138, "volume": 19505426, "typical_volume": 70698453.15, "trend": 0.354333, "fair_value": 3.919074, "relative_strength": -41.90821, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.240703, "energy": 30.32127, "activity_lines": [ 0.453653, 0.436013, 0.437783, 0.408112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3603, "volume": 11218040, "typical_volume": 45628890.2, "trend": 0.35742, "fair_value": 3.876198, "relative_strength": -47.897161, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.506936, "energy": 15.180594, "activity_lines": [ 0.426027, 0.422842, 0.430492, 0.408497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.3903, "volume": 7622235, "typical_volume": 43682840.65, "trend": 0.364837, "fair_value": 3.834699, "relative_strength": -44.473583, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.982901, "energy": 9.155889, "activity_lines": [ 0.4083, 0.416885, 0.426233, 0.410618 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }