{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dda10239-9874-438a-8424-548e411acabf", "symbol": "000516", "name": "Xi'an International Medical Investment Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.89, "architecture_energy": 20.827, "architecture_maturity": 82.72, "architecture_confidence": 70.432, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.25, "rotation_up": 27.63, "upward_expansion": 19.7, "deceleration": 46.95, "rotation_down": 23.99, "downward_expansion": 56.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.202667, 4.138, 4.22319, 4.376194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.25, "trend_reference": 4.577333, "distance_from_trend": -0.071512, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.649295, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.247694, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.26172, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.130879, "excess_performance": -0.138279, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071512, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039116, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.247694, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014173, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132617, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114292, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.130879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.056599, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95668950, "relative_activity": 0.692343, "balance": 1.056599, "dry_up": 1.07928, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064977, "annualized_volatility": 0.288574, "from_high_reference": -0.313409, "from_low_reference": 0.112565 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.577333, "fair_value_reference": 5.649295, "structural_low": 3.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.003782, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000832, "regime_survival": 0.852941, "best_return": 0.165548, "worst_return": -0.294861, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.037847, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.060662, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.310843, "worst_return": -0.320513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.040498, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.13552, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.131325, "worst_return": -0.383333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004132, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.106996, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.085139, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075908, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.032443, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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132166490, "typical_volume": 178897854.15, "trend": 4.585667, "fair_value": 5.707885, "relative_strength": -15.954543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.698977, "energy": 38.890982, "activity_lines": [ 4.094667, 4.084727, 4.25619, 4.418409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.26, "volume": 129524375, "typical_volume": 150024466.5, "trend": 4.578667, "fair_value": 5.677885, "relative_strength": -9.396264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.018108, "energy": 26.857517, "activity_lines": [ 4.163333, 4.111091, 4.23781, 4.397398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.25, "volume": 95668950, "typical_volume": 138181357.1, "trend": 4.577333, "fair_value": 5.649295, "relative_strength": -13.26172, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.88977, "energy": 20.827309, "activity_lines": [ 4.202667, 4.138, 4.22319, 4.376194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }