{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dda69f0b-5126-40cd-a66a-b5ab5468aad2", "symbol": "JKS", "name": "JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.43, "architecture_energy": 53.857, "architecture_maturity": 68.643, "architecture_confidence": 95.418, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 26.38, "upward_expansion": 9.12, "deceleration": 56.02, "rotation_down": 52.71, "downward_expansion": 82.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.917333, 16.141802, 17.903661, 19.49806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.01, "trend_reference": 21.755564, "distance_from_trend": -0.218131, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.549583, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.245662, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.055079, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.385921, "excess_performance": -0.511545, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.218131, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133322, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.245662, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18828, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.350551, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197089, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.385921, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.618659, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4668726, "relative_activity": 1.29684, "balance": 0.618659, "dry_up": 0.963739, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125941, "annualized_volatility": 0.462561, "from_high_reference": -0.466437, "from_low_reference": 0.169072 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.755564, "fair_value_reference": 22.549583, "structural_low": 14.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.012876, "positive_rate": 0.607143, "directional_follow_through": 0.392857, "median_excess_return": -0.016807, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.263158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.089922, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.016661, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.786431, "worst_return": -0.325194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.090584, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.209405, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.612252, "worst_return": -0.210401, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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23.637897, "fair_value": 23.135369, "relative_strength": -39.889029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.634961, "energy": 83.909263, "activity_lines": [ 16.865941, 18.444441, 20.288302, 21.77478 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.77, "volume": 3285115, "typical_volume": 3430858.3, "trend": 23.308897, "fair_value": 23.000546, "relative_strength": -40.355067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.919655, "energy": 82.199414, "activity_lines": [ 16.339281, 17.729945, 19.712555, 21.267174 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.49, "volume": 3143714, "typical_volume": 3466147.2, "trend": 22.940564, "fair_value": 22.877687, "relative_strength": -36.122397, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.324127, "energy": 78.788318, "activity_lines": [ 16.23559, 17.264222, 19.256141, 20.827245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.8, "volume": 3578153, "typical_volume": 3496334.8, "trend": 22.519231, "fair_value": 22.744264, "relative_strength": -41.784415, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.204326, "energy": 76.267223, "activity_lines": [ 15.682, 16.603551, 18.680679, 20.302047 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.14, "volume": 2487557, "typical_volume": 3507146.75, "trend": 22.092564, "fair_value": 22.634689, "relative_strength": -40.603747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.379334, "energy": 70.27127, "activity_lines": [ 15.45, 16.148422, 18.178266, 19.825968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.01, "volume": 4668726, "typical_volume": 3600078.85, "trend": 21.755564, "fair_value": 22.549583, "relative_strength": -35.055079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.430387, "energy": 53.85651, "activity_lines": [ 15.917333, 16.141802, 17.903661, 19.49806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }