{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ddaf15f2-3370-41f0-b804-6975a5a744ef", "symbol": "HUT1", "name": "HUT 8 CORP", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.302, "architecture_energy": 19.849, "architecture_maturity": 74.782, "architecture_confidence": 95.617, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.86, "rotation_up": 23.18, "upward_expansion": 55.4, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 28.6, "downward_expansion": 19.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 1773.593343, 1831.931467, 1802.236679, 1628.860891 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1649.280029, "trend_reference": 1406.907005, "distance_from_trend": 0.172274, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 594.338816, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.774983, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 45.278684, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.890076, "excess_performance": 0.944742, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.172274, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.333946, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.774983, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.283679, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.452787, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.289576, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.890076, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.704527, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1898, "relative_activity": 0.568374, "balance": 1.704527, "dry_up": 0.553177, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164949, "annualized_volatility": 0.807568, "from_high_reference": -0.237683, "from_low_reference": 3.554764 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1406.907005, "fair_value_reference": 594.338816, "structural_low": 805.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.122083, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.086556, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.582442, "worst_return": -0.080554, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.735121, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.693459, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.342145, "worst_return": 0.128096, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.642164, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.563686, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.642164, "worst_return": 1.642164, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.130612, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.531731, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.087538, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.016393, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": 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"fair_value": 577.00346, "relative_strength": 85.82073, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.029926, "energy": 32.855391, "activity_lines": [ 1825.540674, 1903.153831, 1771.046201, 1580.50704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1845.0, "volume": 4385, "typical_volume": 3461.4, "trend": 1387.89767, "fair_value": 586.466121, "relative_strength": 65.986644, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.92403, "energy": 23.625202, "activity_lines": [ 1823.8, 1885.119101, 1798.289534, 1611.997513 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1649.280029, "volume": 1898, "typical_volume": 3339.35, "trend": 1406.907005, "fair_value": 594.338816, "relative_strength": 45.278684, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.30247, "energy": 19.848949, "activity_lines": [ 1773.593343, 1831.931467, 1802.236679, 1628.860891 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }