{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ddb70571-ce27-411c-899c-2f6dbeb7fcce", "symbol": "UTF", "name": "Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.464, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.609, "architecture_energy": 48.589, "architecture_maturity": 49.431, "architecture_confidence": 71.125, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.8, "rotation_up": 54.15, "upward_expansion": 80.16, "deceleration": 63.77, "rotation_down": 23.86, "downward_expansion": 6.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.638438, 27.555176, 27.230429, 26.860811 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.23, "trend_reference": 26.347361, "distance_from_trend": 0.0335, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.882989, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244346, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.121724, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.078191, "excess_performance": -0.047433, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0335, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244346, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020605, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.031217, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005103, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078191, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.663328, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1363315, "relative_activity": 0.970174, "balance": 1.663328, "dry_up": 0.858295, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022822, "annualized_volatility": 0.123378, "from_high_reference": -0.031306, "from_low_reference": 0.221684 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.347361, "fair_value_reference": 21.882989, "structural_low": 24.604283, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.004987, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.004215, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.064761, "worst_return": -0.07382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.022603, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.055884, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.102563, "worst_return": -0.105564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.024064, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.031335, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.171692, "worst_return": -0.202892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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25.763233, "fair_value": 21.632885, "relative_strength": -0.258446, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.548167, "energy": 55.807384, "activity_lines": [ 27.378717, 27.193811, 26.78682, 26.417743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.77, "volume": 1138466, "typical_volume": 1478764.0, "trend": 25.924033, "fair_value": 21.695022, "relative_strength": 2.34917, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.003528, "energy": 65.488393, "activity_lines": [ 27.53477, 27.326415, 26.916717, 26.547212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.07, "volume": 1067227, "typical_volume": 1434021.4, "trend": 26.082622, "fair_value": 21.757726, "relative_strength": 4.124959, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.314221, "energy": 70.762836, "activity_lines": [ 27.754709, 27.493462, 27.068794, 26.685661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.79, "volume": 1255392, "typical_volume": 1405663.15, "trend": 26.222557, "fair_value": 21.822253, "relative_strength": 2.112635, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.809209, "energy": 66.270582, "activity_lines": [ 27.797364, 27.584085, 27.18225, 26.795815 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.23, "volume": 1363315, "typical_volume": 1405227.45, "trend": 26.347361, "fair_value": 21.882989, "relative_strength": -3.121724, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.609243, "energy": 48.589226, "activity_lines": [ 27.638438, 27.555176, 27.230429, 26.860811 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }