{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ddc6cba4-f903-48e1-a764-b73b6c2ae215", "symbol": "IPM", "name": "Intelligent Protection Management Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 85.276, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.737, "architecture_energy": 19.392, "architecture_maturity": 23.032, "architecture_confidence": 44.087, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.28, "rotation_up": 47.37, "upward_expansion": 61.36, "deceleration": 58.6, "rotation_down": 16.15, "downward_expansion": 13.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.816, 1.791273, 1.807905, 1.790796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.85, "trend_reference": 1.773, "distance_from_trend": 0.043429, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.377119, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.221747, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.849853, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.075581, "excess_performance": -0.111872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043429, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006073, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.221747, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014095, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.118499, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072636, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075581, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.065771, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27314, "relative_activity": 0.177695, "balance": 1.065771, "dry_up": 0.383351, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085942, "annualized_volatility": 0.455901, "from_high_reference": -0.357639, "from_low_reference": 0.267123 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.773, "fair_value_reference": 2.377119, "structural_low": 1.46, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.036082, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.061897, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.612565, "worst_return": -0.125561, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.069767, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.123877, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 1.13089, "worst_return": -0.361486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.111111, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.219821, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.950419, "worst_return": -0.331081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1.778892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.77, "volume": 93247, "typical_volume": 276837.8, "trend": 1.767167, "fair_value": 2.377366, "relative_strength": -18.205916, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.59922, "energy": 18.252433, "activity_lines": [ 1.742, 1.792727, 1.7945, 1.779032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.81, "volume": 126273, "typical_volume": 277562.05, "trend": 1.7685, "fair_value": 2.377943, "relative_strength": -11.940842, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.859567, "energy": 11.020979, "activity_lines": [ 1.760667, 1.789455, 1.797905, 1.781796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.8, "volume": 50415, "typical_volume": 276495.05, "trend": 1.769833, "fair_value": 2.378337, "relative_strength": -10.428496, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.820419, "energy": 7.946319, "activity_lines": [ 1.778667, 1.784909, 1.799786, 1.783828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.8, "volume": 31702, "typical_volume": 225771.2, "trend": 1.772167, "fair_value": 2.378849, "relative_strength": -10.326228, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.217769, "energy": 12.529579, "activity_lines": [ 1.792667, 1.781818, 1.801095, 1.785774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.85, "volume": 27314, "typical_volume": 153713.05, "trend": 1.773, "fair_value": 2.377119, "relative_strength": -11.849853, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.73671, "energy": 19.392225, "activity_lines": [ 1.816, 1.791273, 1.807905, 1.790796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }