{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ddd9eabe-8af2-431c-a256-7e8294a57e1f", "symbol": "AIHS", "name": "Senmiao Technology Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.564, "architecture_energy": 26.663, "architecture_maturity": 29.127, "architecture_confidence": 47.328, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.09, "rotation_up": 42.69, "upward_expansion": 66.09, "deceleration": 67.84, "rotation_down": 19.1, "downward_expansion": 6.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.42, 1.401275, 1.33829, 1.329596 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.55, "trend_reference": 1.306337, "distance_from_trend": 0.186524, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.497427, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.71805, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.044765, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.336207, "excess_performance": 0.148753, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.186524, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043408, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.71805, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082538, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.090448, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.521399, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.336207, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 40.199169, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70375, "relative_activity": 0.110134, "balance": 40.199169, "dry_up": 3.267133, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165047, "annualized_volatility": 0.621995, "from_high_reference": -0.812349, "from_low_reference": 0.860744 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.306337, "fair_value_reference": 5.497427, "structural_low": 0.85, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.090464, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007146, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.312622, "worst_return": -0.198473, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.050098, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.000255, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.082474, "worst_return": -0.019048, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.045713, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.146466, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.232814, "worst_return": -0.32424, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 5.575478, "relative_strength": -24.36647, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.347314, "energy": 38.786868, "activity_lines": [ 1.390667, 1.349098, 1.310149, 1.304016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.33, "volume": 8055211, "typical_volume": 651100.8, "trend": 1.28067, "fair_value": 5.545863, "relative_strength": -20.433183, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.031137, "energy": 22.918197, "activity_lines": [ 1.368667, 1.354187, 1.310958, 1.307704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.36, "volume": 46604, "typical_volume": 640355.35, "trend": 1.290003, "fair_value": 5.5206, "relative_strength": -17.218388, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.804456, "energy": 17.301357, "activity_lines": [ 1.360667, 1.362185, 1.315148, 1.312822 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.55, "volume": 70375, "typical_volume": 638996.35, "trend": 1.306337, "fair_value": 5.497427, "relative_strength": -9.044765, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.563743, "energy": 26.663243, "activity_lines": [ 1.42, 1.401275, 1.33829, 1.329596 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }