{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dde54098-c674-49b5-bf31-c1175ab4b400", "symbol": "4114", "name": "Synmosa Biopharma Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 66.379, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 41.128, "architecture_energy": 37.027, "architecture_maturity": 16.305, "architecture_confidence": 50.219, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.07, "rotation_up": 59.27, "upward_expansion": 50.83, "deceleration": 36.38, "rotation_down": 22.05, "downward_expansion": 11.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.446666, 29.226966, 28.647248, 28.508929 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.799999, "trend_reference": 28.526355, "distance_from_trend": 0.044648, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.455544, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047248, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.357939, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.018191, "excess_performance": -0.423181, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044648, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00225, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.047248, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076555, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283579, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096709, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.018191, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.887861, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5557336, "relative_activity": 0.952906, "balance": 0.887861, "dry_up": 0.96157, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031229, "annualized_volatility": 0.142906, "from_high_reference": -0.149326, "from_low_reference": 0.11231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.526355, "fair_value_reference": 28.455544, "structural_low": 26.791093, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.022512, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.035546, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.066474, "worst_return": -0.064165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.006397, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.093052, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.127992, "worst_return": -0.058111, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.04222, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.246921, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.113006, "worst_return": -0.032688, "sufficient": false }, { 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"relative_strength": -29.093712, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.534406, "energy": 58.863187, "activity_lines": [ 29.387327, 28.737216, 28.318735, 28.349539 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.0, "volume": 7028123, "typical_volume": 5741135.25, "trend": 28.530206, "fair_value": 28.437109, "relative_strength": -28.483743, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.049591, "energy": 60.630746, "activity_lines": [ 29.380219, 28.864862, 28.399889, 28.380338 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.25, "volume": 3656102, "typical_volume": 5701900.55, "trend": 28.526618, "fair_value": 28.446115, "relative_strength": -28.354401, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.204746, "energy": 50.292295, "activity_lines": [ 29.342203, 29.014994, 28.500552, 28.426776 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 29.799999, "volume": 5557336, "typical_volume": 5831984.95, "trend": 28.526355, "fair_value": 28.455544, "relative_strength": -28.357939, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.128209, "energy": 37.026936, "activity_lines": [ 29.446666, 29.226966, 28.647248, 28.508929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }