{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ddf56443-61ab-40ba-a3e5-8fece6f2b369",
    "symbol": "DRUP",
    "name": "GRANITESHARES ETF TRUST NASDAQ SELECT DISRUPTORS ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.838,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.085,
    "architecture_energy": 77.0,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.068,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.593,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.51,
        "rotation_up": 73.18,
        "upward_expansion": 91.94,
        "deceleration": 42.88,
        "rotation_down": 14.36,
        "downward_expansion": 16.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        61.386894
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 68.8192,
    "trend_reference": 60.455037,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.138353,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 55.259495,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.245382,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.44873,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.178899,
    "excess_performance": 0.053275,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138353,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019616,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.245382,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119214,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024487,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11919,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178899,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.831238,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5345,
      "relative_activity": 0.580656,
      "balance": 1.831238,
      "dry_up": 0.489267,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038409,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.256768,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000883,
      "from_low_reference": 0.302582
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.455037,
      "fair_value_reference": 55.259495,
      "structural_low": 52.8329,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.026718,
        "positive_rate": 0.647059,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.647059,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001396,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
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        "worst_return": -0.077115,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.21049,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.043209,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 41.031268,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 8629.25,
        "trend": 62.256237,
        "fair_value": 53.137771,
        "relative_strength": -14.615132,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 28.946319,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 9720.75,
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        "relative_strength": -14.367726,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -27.478483,
        "energy": 29.278928,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 10112.0,
        "trend": 61.94817,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 9932.15,
        "trend": 61.769963,
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        "relative_strength": -11.236673,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 29.706747,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 9838.0,
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        "relative_strength": -8.221916,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 53.564098,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 63.4856,
        "volume": 15661,
        "typical_volume": 10207.4,
        "trend": 61.563867,
        "fair_value": 53.92769,
        "relative_strength": -8.187087,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 30.443093,
        "energy": 54.348707,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 61.2075,
        "volume": 2725,
        "typical_volume": 10162.55,
        "trend": 61.38383,
        "fair_value": 54.065737,
        "relative_strength": -11.641501,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 28.277424,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 9760.8,
        "trend": 61.022897,
        "fair_value": 54.334507,
        "relative_strength": -10.215017,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.908482,
        "energy": 11.391103,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 5039,
        "typical_volume": 9488.55,
        "trend": 60.86787,
        "fair_value": 54.489489,
        "relative_strength": -7.561006,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.292316,
        "energy": 18.43575,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 9415.9,
        "trend": 60.776507,
        "fair_value": 54.640904,
        "relative_strength": -7.708288,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.415428,
        "energy": 30.467149,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 63.38,
        "volume": 1996,
        "typical_volume": 9290.3,
        "trend": 60.645133,
        "fair_value": 54.785405,
        "relative_strength": -7.349229,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.22007,
        "energy": 48.399187,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.174047,
          62.781509,
          61.232704,
          60.51564
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.3644,
        "volume": 5887,
        "typical_volume": 9091.35,
        "trend": 60.434627,
        "fair_value": 54.913838,
        "relative_strength": -9.42434,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.582102,
        "energy": 53.369116,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.77576,
          62.559229,
          61.386528,
          60.562044
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.8028,
        "volume": 4787,
        "typical_volume": 9050.45,
        "trend": 60.402203,
        "fair_value": 55.072369,
        "relative_strength": -5.095076,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.538315,
        "energy": 59.896205,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.46806,
          62.949091,
          61.858893,
          60.843862
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.8192,
        "volume": 5345,
        "typical_volume": 9205.1,
        "trend": 60.455037,
        "fair_value": 55.259495,
        "relative_strength": -2.44873,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.084936,
        "energy": 77.000003,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.232633,
          64.026115,
          62.678748,
          61.386894
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}