{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ddfb64c1-7d5f-4d7e-83c2-6ec7ce92cd8e", "symbol": "6658", "name": "SynPower Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.209, "architecture_energy": 18.152, "architecture_maturity": 73.546, "architecture_confidence": 71.928, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.74, "rotation_up": 17.0, "upward_expansion": 45.9, "deceleration": 87.41, "rotation_down": 35.87, "downward_expansion": 26.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 153.966667, 165.127273, 170.154104, 152.352193 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 161.0, "trend_reference": 125.431772, "distance_from_trend": 0.283566, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.879356, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.239864, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 31.764831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.116044, "excess_performance": 1.674672, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.283566, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.477384, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.239864, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.940995, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.317648, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.53455, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.116044, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.568798, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1835225, "relative_activity": 0.269068, "balance": 0.568798, "dry_up": 0.317865, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.207669, "annualized_volatility": 0.871129, "from_high_reference": -0.380769, "from_low_reference": 2.522484 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 125.431772, "fair_value_reference": 71.879356, "structural_low": 52.860426, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.008781, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.003505, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.390014, "worst_return": -0.075472, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.193846, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.157074, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.024661, "worst_return": -0.304598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.245283, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.230083, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.182681, "worst_return": -0.287449, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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166.006471, 139.915751 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 160.5, "volume": 3356865, "typical_volume": 7382928.05, "trend": 112.388275, "fair_value": 69.093702, "relative_strength": 43.096762, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.726141, "energy": 36.908189, "activity_lines": [ 184.066667, 188.187001, 168.333637, 143.261259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 156.0, "volume": 2810530, "typical_volume": 7392901.45, "trend": 115.971991, "fair_value": 69.830673, "relative_strength": 35.41235, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.878742, "energy": 23.656995, "activity_lines": [ 172.7, 181.788356, 169.74332, 146.074919 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 140.0, "volume": 2498576, "typical_volume": 7193726.5, "trend": 118.823651, "fair_value": 70.44, "relative_strength": 22.741097, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.482431, "energy": 23.277658, "activity_lines": [ 158.2, 173.149013, 169.161237, 147.625113 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 153.0, "volume": 1527879, "typical_volume": 6935637.75, "trend": 121.906609, "fair_value": 71.133884, "relative_strength": 30.329813, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.071847, "energy": 20.590175, "activity_lines": [ 152.9, 167.814546, 169.478476, 149.830039 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 161.0, "volume": 1835225, "typical_volume": 6820672.55, "trend": 125.431772, "fair_value": 71.879356, "relative_strength": 31.764831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.208883, "energy": 18.152389, "activity_lines": [ 153.966667, 165.127273, 170.154104, 152.352193 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }