{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ddfd0d82-24a5-4114-a97e-dd18b4866f2d", "symbol": "300805", "name": "Guangdong Brandmax Marketing Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.41, "architecture_energy": 34.361, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.218, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.26, "rotation_up": 27.53, "upward_expansion": 18.02, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 36.11, "downward_expansion": 68.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.054667, 7.889106, 8.407949, 9.158382 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.32, "trend_reference": 10.270895, "distance_from_trend": -0.189944, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.581617, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131671, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.857817, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.469049, "excess_performance": -0.476449, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.189944, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097619, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.131671, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.250366, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021892, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.469049, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.902198, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71626040, "relative_activity": 1.652467, "balance": 0.902198, "dry_up": 2.423589, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110591, "annualized_volatility": 0.429832, "from_high_reference": -0.48323, "from_low_reference": 0.200577 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.270895, "fair_value_reference": 9.581617, "structural_low": 6.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.001404, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010861, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.180657, "worst_return": -0.157695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.090202, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.032754, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.275321, "worst_return": -0.29434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.130563, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.096931, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.390358, "worst_return": -0.260042, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.517146, "energy": 64.487061, "activity_lines": [ 7.714139, 7.914389, 8.781523, 9.625351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.48, "volume": 136419287, "typical_volume": 38864648.95, "trend": 10.416228, "fair_value": 9.583542, "relative_strength": -32.194885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.853653, "energy": 61.217752, "activity_lines": [ 7.65445, 7.771537, 8.586253, 9.429444 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.24, "volume": 98750581, "typical_volume": 41326397.9, "trend": 10.345228, "fair_value": 9.580035, "relative_strength": -23.507983, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.904462, "energy": 44.596717, "activity_lines": [ 7.873903, 7.813049, 8.485268, 9.289042 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.32, "volume": 71626040, "typical_volume": 43344922.2, "trend": 10.270895, "fair_value": 9.581617, "relative_strength": -25.857817, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.409955, "energy": 34.361338, "activity_lines": [ 8.054667, 7.889106, 8.407949, 9.158382 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }