{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de01de15-920b-44ef-a183-b878fe3874c5", "symbol": "AGOX", "name": "STARBOARD INVESTMENT TRUST ADAPTIVE ALPHA OPPORTUNITIES ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.692, "architecture_energy": 23.167, "architecture_maturity": 54.543, "architecture_confidence": 87.591, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.04, "rotation_up": 28.69, "upward_expansion": 58.15, "deceleration": 86.91, "rotation_down": 27.41, "downward_expansion": 19.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.77482, 33.973473, 33.794378, 32.764541 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 34.4629, "trend_reference": 31.573207, "distance_from_trend": 0.091524, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.839305, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284046, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.623286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.157806, "excess_performance": 0.032181, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.091524, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056534, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.284046, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0344, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006233, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034161, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.157806, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.645176, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 424639, "relative_activity": 1.087891, "balance": 2.645176, "dry_up": 1.154872, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042696, "annualized_volatility": 0.243224, "from_high_reference": -0.037349, "from_low_reference": 0.343583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.573207, "fair_value_reference": 26.839305, "structural_low": 25.65, "invalidation": "A 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52.277723, "activity_lines": [ 34.595973, 34.341416, 32.632934, 31.676681 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 34.31, "volume": 287892, "typical_volume": 413813.95, "trend": 30.817309, "fair_value": 26.464919, "relative_strength": 3.733861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.718139, "energy": 48.168656, "activity_lines": [ 34.505647, 34.405111, 32.926012, 31.913196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 34.48, "volume": 162985, "typical_volume": 350187.05, "trend": 31.008647, "fair_value": 26.544226, "relative_strength": 2.848135, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.146566, "energy": 43.943861, "activity_lines": [ 34.46932, 34.464805, 33.213043, 32.149499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.3039, "volume": 567248, "typical_volume": 372130.0, "trend": 31.14711, "fair_value": 26.614981, "relative_strength": 0.974661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.849442, "energy": 32.381151, "activity_lines": [ 34.03696, 34.267244, 33.36435, 32.29758 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.26, "volume": 476299, "typical_volume": 388528.65, "trend": 31.274443, "fair_value": 26.685037, "relative_strength": 1.476706, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.547257, "energy": 26.950611, "activity_lines": [ 33.705707, 34.074356, 33.492268, 32.433895 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.36, "volume": 334949, "typical_volume": 384753.25, "trend": 31.423443, "fair_value": 26.758079, "relative_strength": 0.766091, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.566956, "energy": 21.817764, "activity_lines": [ 33.53478, 33.918742, 33.605613, 32.568447 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.4629, "volume": 424639, "typical_volume": 390332.3, "trend": 31.573207, "fair_value": 26.839305, "relative_strength": 0.623286, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.692386, "energy": 23.167474, "activity_lines": [ 33.77482, 33.973473, 33.794378, 32.764541 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }