{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de0b922c-375b-4608-bf71-5b288eeb4fde", "symbol": "MEGI", "name": "MainStay CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Fund", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 49.083, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.181, "architecture_energy": 31.058, "architecture_maturity": 40.274, "architecture_confidence": 63.482, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.45, "rotation_up": 49.47, "upward_expansion": 76.04, "deceleration": 60.64, "rotation_down": 20.39, "downward_expansion": 2.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.230696, 15.187474, 15.116641, 15.001345 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.21, "trend_reference": 14.778029, "distance_from_trend": 0.029231, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.911108, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.276959, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.257321, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.081248, "excess_performance": -0.044376, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029231, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046551, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.276959, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030965, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.042573, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024342, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.081248, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.623441, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 683191, "relative_activity": 0.974846, "balance": 0.623441, "dry_up": 0.882582, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030443, "annualized_volatility": 0.178056, "from_high_reference": -0.021319, "from_low_reference": 0.196441 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.778029, "fair_value_reference": 11.911108, "structural_low": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.270027, "energy": 41.162469, "activity_lines": [ 15.203915, 15.134628, 15.035584, 14.8923 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.11, "volume": 735306, "typical_volume": 710403.25, "trend": 14.643503, "fair_value": 11.841696, "relative_strength": -0.670436, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.113295, "energy": 32.332701, "activity_lines": [ 15.194633, 15.140554, 15.056309, 14.926559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.3, "volume": 635474, "typical_volume": 705635.7, "trend": 14.707311, "fair_value": 11.876713, "relative_strength": -0.424922, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.181484, "energy": 34.309518, "activity_lines": [ 15.231519, 15.172803, 15.092658, 14.968913 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.21, "volume": 683191, "typical_volume": 700819.45, "trend": 14.778029, "fair_value": 11.911108, "relative_strength": -4.257321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.18148, "energy": 31.058153, "activity_lines": [ 15.230696, 15.187474, 15.116641, 15.001345 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }