{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de199bff-f175-45e5-82ba-aebd858eac73", "symbol": "301022", "name": "Qingdao Hi-Tech Moulds & Plastics Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.071, "architecture_energy": 64.746, "architecture_maturity": 57.154, "architecture_confidence": 91.264, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.56, "rotation_up": 18.64, "upward_expansion": 13.54, "deceleration": 42.24, "rotation_down": 59.4, "downward_expansion": 84.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.660364, 22.335324, 24.736528, 26.46217 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.700001, "trend_reference": 28.896027, "distance_from_trend": -0.214425, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.914696, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.156595, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.895247, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.369444, "excess_performance": -0.376844, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.214425, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096067, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.156595, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.302942, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318952, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064808, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.369444, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.337023, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8352876, "relative_activity": 0.889065, "balance": 1.337023, "dry_up": 0.86018, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128975, "annualized_volatility": 0.610476, "from_high_reference": -0.545909, "from_low_reference": 0.199155 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.896027, "fair_value_reference": 26.914696, "structural_low": 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"fair_value": 27.062996, "relative_strength": -35.031897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.744867, "energy": 75.594336, "activity_lines": [ 24.257338, 25.980851, 27.773859, 29.157062 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 22.605453, "volume": 8143617, "typical_volume": 10244185.1, "trend": 30.30736, "fair_value": 27.038736, "relative_strength": -38.511895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.571977, "energy": 71.451636, "activity_lines": [ 23.562799, 25.111564, 27.149781, 28.640413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.02, "volume": 6363341, "typical_volume": 10206099.8, "trend": 29.965694, "fair_value": 27.014532, "relative_strength": -36.488112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.32936, "energy": 62.84677, "activity_lines": [ 22.620078, 24.077731, 26.427111, 28.041229 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.68, "volume": 7271982, "typical_volume": 10000223.3, "trend": 29.57736, "fair_value": 26.966377, "relative_strength": -40.105466, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.990926, "energy": 73.567312, "activity_lines": [ 21.488932, 22.97808, 25.640202, 27.377636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.93, "volume": 10337768, "typical_volume": 10121417.05, "trend": 29.24236, "fair_value": 26.931641, "relative_strength": -31.592268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.704138, "energy": 74.841976, "activity_lines": [ 21.448128, 22.49752, 25.126055, 26.884257 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.700001, "volume": 8352876, "typical_volume": 9395118.95, "trend": 28.896027, "fair_value": 26.914696, "relative_strength": -31.895247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.070643, "energy": 64.746475, "activity_lines": [ 21.660364, 22.335324, 24.736528, 26.46217 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }