{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de2ef6c1-5799-4753-8cd5-51dab67f2e00", "symbol": "GVT&D", "name": "GE Vernova T&D India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.607, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.673, "architecture_energy": 19.253, "architecture_maturity": 51.65, "architecture_confidence": 76.278, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.74, "rotation_up": 14.5, "upward_expansion": 41.95, "deceleration": 86.38, "rotation_down": 46.94, "downward_expansion": 38.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 4314.153255, 4503.005407, 4610.315224, 4458.624294 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4299.0, "trend_reference": 4165.216667, "distance_from_trend": 0.032119, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2114.657726, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.032953, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.89116, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.210236, "excess_performance": 0.253945, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.032119, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158847, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.032953, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.622904, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.178912, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.37997, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.210236, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.152882, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4965341, "relative_activity": 1.453098, "balance": 1.152882, "dry_up": 1.471288, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108809, "annualized_volatility": 0.443832, "from_high_reference": -0.236683, "from_low_reference": 0.703789 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4165.216667, "fair_value_reference": 2114.657726, "structural_low": 3390.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.012348, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.018618, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.160182, "worst_return": -0.074025, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.16891, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.164273, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.816413, "worst_return": -0.175385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.061899, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.107855, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.886826, "worst_return": -0.202381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"up", "direction": 43.63674, "energy": 33.033387, "activity_lines": [ 4808.666699, 4889.210938, 4674.36574, 4398.17615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4387.399902, "volume": 3770713, "typical_volume": 2986251.95, "trend": 4041.390015, "fair_value": 2037.981279, "relative_strength": 24.683301, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.141533, "energy": 24.120437, "activity_lines": [ 4631.293327, 4802.723642, 4670.921444, 4423.640013 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4157.399902, "volume": 4315355, "typical_volume": 3045896.15, "trend": 4077.533341, "fair_value": 2063.078606, "relative_strength": 19.738703, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.021357, "energy": 21.752511, "activity_lines": [ 4414.259961, 4678.747257, 4643.01429, 4431.124522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4323.299805, "volume": 7058585, "typical_volume": 3300997.75, "trend": 4118.520003, "fair_value": 2089.110616, "relative_strength": 20.404095, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.134324, "energy": 19.333546, "activity_lines": [ 4344.266569, 4588.301767, 4629.533795, 4446.980423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4299.0, "volume": 4965341, "typical_volume": 3417072.55, "trend": 4165.216667, "fair_value": 2114.657726, "relative_strength": 17.89116, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.672812, "energy": 19.25275, "activity_lines": [ 4314.153255, 4503.005407, 4610.315224, 4458.624294 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }