{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "de333d2d-003c-42ae-8c7c-9d4b3669dbe9",
    "symbol": "N1BI34",
    "name": "Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.427,
    "architecture_energy": 63.868,
    "architecture_maturity": 50.595,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.731,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.71,
        "rotation_up": 56.9,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 60.73,
        "rotation_down": 28.87,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.899333,
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        39.750839
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 42.919998,
    "trend_reference": 37.765,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.136502,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.478205,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.209757,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.899586,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.25939,
    "excess_performance": 0.316438,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136502,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02973,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.209757,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120643,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078996,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.221861,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25939,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 181.756757,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26,
      "relative_activity": 0.049481,
      "balance": 181.756757,
      "dry_up": 2.876582,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035827,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.337814,
      "from_high_reference": -0.062473,
      "from_low_reference": 0.362107
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.765,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.478205,
      "structural_low": 31.51,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.003308,
        "positive_rate": 0.518519,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004875,
        "regime_survival": 0.740741,
        "best_return": 0.10995,
        "worst_return": -0.205607,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.079681,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018622,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.130952,
        "worst_return": -0.301168,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.1046,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.17645,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.204424,
        "worst_return": -0.274224,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.09979,
        "worst_return": -0.149065,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 90.019831,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.457999,
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          33.885094,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 36.91,
        "volume": 3130,
        "typical_volume": 662.9,
        "trend": 36.471,
        "fair_value": 33.889936,
        "relative_strength": -14.286563,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.389977,
        "energy": 29.521872,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.801333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 39.84,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 618.3,
        "trend": 36.545,
        "fair_value": 33.994936,
        "relative_strength": -3.77567,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 21.511209,
        "energy": 32.058712,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 39.84,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 618.15,
        "trend": 36.590333,
        "fair_value": 34.099744,
        "relative_strength": -3.016579,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.107449,
        "energy": 59.36499,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.66,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 538.4,
        "trend": 36.674666,
        "fair_value": 34.205513,
        "relative_strength": -2.376574,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.120256,
        "energy": 74.016095,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.781333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 43.240002,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 499.4,
        "trend": 36.776,
        "fair_value": 34.335385,
        "relative_strength": 9.956524,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 58.744515,
        "energy": 85.492339,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.682001,
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          36.192476,
          36.211505
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 43.080002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 405.75,
        "trend": 36.937667,
        "fair_value": 34.465192,
        "relative_strength": 8.232825,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 63.056652,
        "energy": 86.986355,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 40.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 355.35,
        "trend": 37.022667,
        "fair_value": 34.575449,
        "relative_strength": 2.954069,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.433085,
        "energy": 78.87596,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 40.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 353.55,
        "trend": 36.998666,
        "fair_value": 34.686987,
        "relative_strength": 0.324414,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.866213,
        "energy": 67.577262,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.205334,
          40.276001,
          37.788333,
          37.049161
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 44.880001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 345.2,
        "trend": 37.093333,
        "fair_value": 34.827756,
        "relative_strength": 10.947234,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.393176,
        "energy": 74.286606,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.402667,
          41.399273,
          38.614286,
          37.557634
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 45.049999,
        "volume": 701,
        "typical_volume": 314.75,
        "trend": 37.188333,
        "fair_value": 34.969615,
        "relative_strength": 9.283366,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.334618,
        "energy": 72.799199,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.296667,
          42.326,
          39.403857,
          38.070968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 43.740002,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 304.9,
        "trend": 37.319667,
        "fair_value": 35.100513,
        "relative_strength": 8.878355,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.838762,
        "energy": 66.882311,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.633334,
          42.770364,
          40.016381,
          38.493656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.48,
        "volume": 6019,
        "typical_volume": 559.8,
        "trend": 37.467666,
        "fair_value": 35.229744,
        "relative_strength": 10.696824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.606851,
        "energy": 68.313365,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.172667,
          43.225091,
          40.650524,
          38.955613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.48,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 529.3,
        "trend": 37.606333,
        "fair_value": 35.358974,
        "relative_strength": 8.370627,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.000635,
        "energy": 71.203511,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.434667,
          43.595455,
          41.232715,
          39.408022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.919998,
        "volume": 26,
        "typical_volume": 525.45,
        "trend": 37.765,
        "fair_value": 35.478205,
        "relative_strength": 7.899586,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.42678,
        "energy": 63.867637,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.899333,
          43.597818,
          41.613667,
          39.750839
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}