{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de4c4f46-6856-4eb4-b0e6-8907a8cc90a2", "symbol": "002793", "name": "Luoxin Pharmaceuticals Group Stock Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.673, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 22.422, "architecture_energy": 25.522, "architecture_maturity": 69.519, "architecture_confidence": 64.988, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.05, "rotation_up": 58.69, "upward_expansion": 31.44, "deceleration": 39.96, "rotation_down": 12.46, "downward_expansion": 20.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.852, 4.594545, 4.609381, 4.683763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.33, "trend_reference": 4.771667, "distance_from_trend": 0.11701, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.728974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.127094, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.276774, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.10124, "excess_performance": 0.09384, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11701, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051421, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.127094, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001788, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022768, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155775, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.10124, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.971965, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 300969667, "relative_activity": 1.968265, "balance": 0.971965, "dry_up": 1.810708, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094963, "annualized_volatility": 0.410422, "from_high_reference": -0.183767, "from_low_reference": 0.410053 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.771667, "fair_value_reference": 4.728974, "structural_low": 3.78, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.004425, "positive_rate": 0.514286, "directional_follow_through": 0.485714, "median_excess_return": 0.015167, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.319885, "worst_return": -0.230591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.005964, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.006903, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.273481, "worst_return": -0.190678, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.005881, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.062766, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.544199, "worst_return": -0.201977, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.411355, "energy": 43.90461, "activity_lines": [ 4.255333, 4.285091, 4.580333, 4.681011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.46, "volume": 282857452, "typical_volume": 121053821.85, "trend": 4.772333, "fair_value": 4.738141, "relative_strength": -12.856602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.848125, "energy": 29.258491, "activity_lines": [ 4.348667, 4.287091, 4.555, 4.659806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.71, "volume": 308246641, "typical_volume": 132594202.45, "trend": 4.762333, "fair_value": 4.73391, "relative_strength": -7.77717, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.142254, "energy": 22.000001, "activity_lines": [ 4.507333, 4.353091, 4.555714, 4.655785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.62, "volume": 215435601, "typical_volume": 140571197.1, "trend": 4.754, "fair_value": 4.729679, "relative_strength": -7.569871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.636834, "energy": 22.669259, "activity_lines": [ 4.588667, 4.410364, 4.548286, 4.646602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.33, "volume": 300969667, "typical_volume": 152911119.25, "trend": 4.771667, "fair_value": 4.728974, "relative_strength": 2.276774, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.422226, "energy": 25.521659, "activity_lines": [ 4.852, 4.594545, 4.609381, 4.683763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }