{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de7cb301-d9e7-4794-80ed-6c5b6134b438", "symbol": "3213", "name": "Mildef Crete Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.153, "architecture_energy": 40.256, "architecture_maturity": 39.351, "architecture_confidence": 58.45, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.92, "rotation_up": 51.18, "upward_expansion": 78.09, "deceleration": 65.57, "rotation_down": 22.82, "downward_expansion": 4.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 131.366667, 129.901459, 124.662472, 118.197422 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 136.0, "trend_reference": 110.165718, "distance_from_trend": 0.234504, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 90.307988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.505958, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.83726, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.465121, "excess_performance": 0.023749, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.234504, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112846, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.505958, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.222628, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078373, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.195425, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.465121, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.879521, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2174155, "relative_activity": 0.57594, "balance": 0.879521, "dry_up": 0.710783, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110928, "annualized_volatility": 0.512341, "from_high_reference": -0.07483, "from_low_reference": 0.527137 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 110.165718, "fair_value_reference": 90.307988, "structural_low": 90.186417, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.028862, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.002832, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.278308, "worst_return": -0.118421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.037479, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.024357, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.301557, "worst_return": -0.057778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.226356, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.17013, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.468076, "worst_return": -0.106566, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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111.183753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 118.5, "volume": 2102962, "typical_volume": 3558885.8, "trend": 105.703989, "fair_value": 88.311952, "relative_strength": -16.655475, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.307587, "energy": 44.485865, "activity_lines": [ 127.151989, 126.096818, 117.86204, 112.064517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 128.5, "volume": 1780086, "typical_volume": 3577844.15, "trend": 106.751795, "fair_value": 88.822021, "relative_strength": -10.840031, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.803295, "energy": 45.109019, "activity_lines": [ 127.666667, 127.072988, 119.553986, 113.535227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 123.0, "volume": 1861593, "typical_volume": 3551107.25, "trend": 107.616267, "fair_value": 89.262706, "relative_strength": -12.782034, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.195423, "energy": 28.42577, "activity_lines": [ 126.2, 126.666104, 120.565705, 114.583498 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 136.5, "volume": 4916890, "typical_volume": 3732275.35, "trend": 108.867913, "fair_value": 89.800763, "relative_strength": -4.82569, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.554735, "energy": 35.799655, "activity_lines": [ 128.666667, 128.524953, 122.732911, 116.446965 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 136.0, "volume": 2174155, "typical_volume": 3774967.05, "trend": 110.165718, "fair_value": 90.307988, "relative_strength": -7.83726, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.153084, "energy": 40.256142, "activity_lines": [ 131.366667, 129.901459, 124.662472, 118.197422 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }