{ "ticker": { "uuid": "de8786cb-76b9-4f5f-bfdf-73159f75459d", "symbol": "SERVOTECH", "name": "Servotech Renewable Power System Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 51.539, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -3.284, "architecture_energy": 15.929, "architecture_maturity": 53.492, "architecture_confidence": 73.027, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.84, "rotation_up": 16.96, "upward_expansion": 48.19, "deceleration": 84.71, "rotation_down": 39.84, "downward_expansion": 28.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.136667, 94.38691, 95.009239, 90.92557 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.620003, "trend_reference": 84.986333, "distance_from_trend": -0.00431, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.730899, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228841, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.198555, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.061332, "excess_performance": 0.105041, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00431, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036254, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.228841, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109514, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.101986, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036798, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.061332, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.389868, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2779624, "relative_activity": 0.526779, "balance": 0.389868, "dry_up": 1.055335, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109885, "annualized_volatility": 0.413615, "from_high_reference": -0.408026, "from_low_reference": 0.471396 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 84.986333, "fair_value_reference": 109.730899, "structural_low": 61.619999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.007747, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.00448, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.075445, "worst_return": -0.199069, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.164204, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.161174, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.543421, "worst_return": -0.305385, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.973653, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 1.000063, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.476503, "worst_return": -0.142685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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42.065863, "activity_lines": [ 100.083335, 99.765274, 94.238762, 88.999118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.800003, "volume": 4818925, "typical_volume": 4869951.25, "trend": 83.869, "fair_value": 109.712539, "relative_strength": 4.254825, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.873099, "energy": 34.126127, "activity_lines": [ 99.821335, 99.988001, 95.395763, 90.070581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 95.639999, "volume": 7309352, "typical_volume": 5090452.85, "trend": 84.411, "fair_value": 109.744852, "relative_strength": 3.067774, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.790443, "energy": 29.039157, "activity_lines": [ 98.354668, 99.368001, 96.041143, 90.83 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.879997, "volume": 7366597, "typical_volume": 5276929.65, "trend": 84.607667, "fair_value": 109.737601, "relative_strength": -8.92457, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.115619, "energy": 15.103455, "activity_lines": [ 94.036667, 96.929091, 95.627095, 90.924774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.620003, "volume": 2779624, "typical_volume": 5276641.35, "trend": 84.986333, "fair_value": 109.730899, "relative_strength": -10.198555, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.283833, "energy": 15.928953, "activity_lines": [ 90.136667, 94.38691, 95.009239, 90.92557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }