{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dea20b40-4898-419e-b359-f23d497e781d", "symbol": "KOFUBL", "name": "Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.681, "architecture_energy": 30.118, "architecture_maturity": 23.096, "architecture_confidence": 82.911, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.87, "rotation_up": 46.88, "upward_expansion": 74.24, "deceleration": 57.35, "rotation_down": 26.34, "downward_expansion": 10.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 184.950332, 183.953813, 183.219397, 182.343716 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 189.0, "trend_reference": 181.95733, "distance_from_trend": 0.038705, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 159.873959, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.182181, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.971488, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.002335, "excess_performance": 0.052332, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038705, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035702, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.182181, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010557, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.079715, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098086, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.002335, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.65208, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2813971, "relative_activity": 0.921063, "balance": 1.65208, "dry_up": 1.165628, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040972, "annualized_volatility": 0.171286, "from_high_reference": -0.045022, "from_low_reference": 0.323534 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 181.95733, "fair_value_reference": 159.873959, "structural_low": 163.889834, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.000896, "positive_rate": 0.484848, "directional_follow_through": 0.484848, "median_excess_return": -0.000628, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.107775, "worst_return": -0.103317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.000185, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.012017, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.226751, "worst_return": -0.061155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.030491, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.008783, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.20292, "worst_return": -0.164794, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-31", "close": 187.259995, "volume": 6399759, "typical_volume": 3380751.4, "trend": 181.4969, "fair_value": 159.480067, "relative_strength": 7.141736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.539436, "energy": 16.601885, "activity_lines": [ 182.794945, 182.954878, 182.41316, 181.859645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 189.0, "volume": 2813971, "typical_volume": 3055133.9, "trend": 181.95733, "fair_value": 159.873959, "relative_strength": 7.971488, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.68119, "energy": 30.118412, "activity_lines": [ 184.950332, 183.953813, 183.219397, 182.343716 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }