{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dea3be6f-99d6-4848-a82b-a8b858360eeb", "symbol": "QMCO", "name": "Quantum Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 40.72, "architecture_energy": 21.966, "architecture_maturity": 49.035, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.28, "rotation_up": 31.29, "upward_expansion": 54.16, "deceleration": 88.1, "rotation_down": 23.56, "downward_expansion": 17.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.156, 11.343091, 10.779095, 9.676043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.04, "trend_reference": 8.413333, "distance_from_trend": 0.431062, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.505281, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.14609, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.40429, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.044143, "excess_performance": 0.856689, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.431062, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192986, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.14609, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.298175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.254043, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.272198, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.044143, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.983683, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3612361, "relative_activity": 0.825314, "balance": 1.983683, "dry_up": 1.011888, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.267573, "annualized_volatility": 0.885212, "from_high_reference": -0.348485, "from_low_reference": 1.873508 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.413333, "fair_value_reference": 10.505281, "structural_low": 4.19, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.034864, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.170626, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.014097, "worst_return": -0.377778, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.428571, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.363096, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.428571, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.587302, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.688862, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.587302, "worst_return": -0.587302, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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11.1, "volume": 2991070, "typical_volume": 3983887.85, "trend": 8.142, "fair_value": 10.587846, "relative_strength": 23.033136, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.38639, "energy": 20.912048, "activity_lines": [ 10.67, 11.406909, 10.368048, 9.271226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.64, "volume": 6668833, "typical_volume": 4248137.2, "trend": 8.263333, "fair_value": 10.515025, "relative_strength": 16.979379, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.536833, "energy": 17.429637, "activity_lines": [ 10.646, 11.262182, 10.519619, 9.432387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.04, "volume": 3612361, "typical_volume": 4376955.8, "trend": 8.413333, "fair_value": 10.505281, "relative_strength": 25.40429, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.720287, "energy": 21.965934, "activity_lines": [ 11.156, 11.343091, 10.779095, 9.676043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }