{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dea5d872-1a41-4035-ba36-cdb2cf93e0da", "symbol": "CUBI", "name": "Customers Bancorp, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.625, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.669, "architecture_energy": 44.333, "architecture_maturity": 38.23, "architecture_confidence": 78.274, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.45, "rotation_up": 53.4, "upward_expansion": 77.05, "deceleration": 56.67, "rotation_down": 18.8, "downward_expansion": 6.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.191333, 78.511143, 77.160444, 75.639293 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 82.07, "trend_reference": 74.414558, "distance_from_trend": 0.102876, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.991346, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.440043, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.664545, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.080631, "excess_performance": -0.044994, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102876, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029388, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.440043, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004635, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.016645, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004888, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080631, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.749642, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1653081, "relative_activity": 1.038466, "balance": 0.749642, "dry_up": 0.925716, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056131, "annualized_volatility": 0.281776, "from_high_reference": -0.022394, "from_low_reference": 0.389122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.414558, "fair_value_reference": 56.991346, "structural_low": 63.471198, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.009704, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.011167, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.225057, "worst_return": -0.172529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.022441, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.032789, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.669124, "worst_return": -0.393655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.129644, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.030943, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.85892, "worst_return": -0.538081, "sufficient": true }, { 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45.733357, "activity_lines": [ 77.761197, 76.799287, 75.32414, 74.407992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 78.31, "volume": 1380377, "typical_volume": 1734904.55, "trend": 74.089909, "fair_value": 56.241485, "relative_strength": 1.251588, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.741538, "energy": 46.424302, "activity_lines": [ 77.931333, 77.197595, 75.806654, 74.686302 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 76.52, "volume": 1532598, "typical_volume": 1673045.8, "trend": 74.129274, "fair_value": 56.465285, "relative_strength": -0.590808, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.628005, "energy": 27.962456, "activity_lines": [ 77.475333, 77.245214, 76.065525, 74.843082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.68, "volume": 1328349, "typical_volume": 1643115.05, "trend": 74.279468, "fair_value": 56.707079, "relative_strength": 1.02092, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.908946, "energy": 29.605713, "activity_lines": [ 77.690667, 77.605075, 76.485468, 75.136678 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 82.07, "volume": 1653081, "typical_volume": 1591849.65, "trend": 74.414558, "fair_value": 56.991346, "relative_strength": 1.664545, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.669217, "energy": 44.332835, "activity_lines": [ 79.191333, 78.511143, 77.160444, 75.639293 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }