{ "ticker": { "uuid": "deb505e3-fc6d-4d7b-8dc9-4f57befa1790", "symbol": "1341", "name": "Fulin Plastic Industry (Cayman) Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 66.444, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.018, "architecture_energy": 48.952, "architecture_maturity": 34.981, "architecture_confidence": 67.508, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.03, "rotation_up": 62.63, "upward_expansion": 83.05, "deceleration": 48.68, "rotation_down": 16.35, "downward_expansion": 7.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.413332, 58.950438, 58.417274, 57.853932 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 60.599998, "trend_reference": 57.048076, "distance_from_trend": 0.062262, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.88449, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.065317, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.81126, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.099941, "excess_performance": -0.341431, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062262, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022508, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.065317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05829, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238113, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100796, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099941, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.886685, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90011, "relative_activity": 2.134814, "balance": 0.886685, "dry_up": 0.961361, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035454, "annualized_volatility": 0.12164, "from_high_reference": -0.013904, "from_low_reference": 0.173669 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.048076, "fair_value_reference": 56.88449, "structural_low": 52.848947, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.005, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.000556, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.048227, "worst_return": -0.146862, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.007519, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.030366, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.030086, "worst_return": -0.148368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006275, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.107786, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.058991, "worst_return": -0.139466, 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"activity_lines": [ 58.286235, 58.156945, 57.662312, 57.164099 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.099998, "volume": 15002, "typical_volume": 50507.6, "trend": 56.589401, "fair_value": 56.808943, "relative_strength": -25.063261, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.665301, "energy": 36.030286, "activity_lines": [ 58.599999, 58.365213, 57.852395, 57.335695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.0, "volume": 33000, "typical_volume": 48157.6, "trend": 56.72896, "fair_value": 56.831212, "relative_strength": -23.207207, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.595237, "energy": 34.836863, "activity_lines": [ 58.806666, 58.518175, 58.018777, 57.491217 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.599998, "volume": 24124, "typical_volume": 38663.0, "trend": 56.848949, "fair_value": 56.851441, "relative_strength": -24.628831, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.700742, "energy": 33.512915, "activity_lines": [ 58.779999, 58.568206, 58.129799, 57.611929 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 60.599998, "volume": 90011, "typical_volume": 42163.4, "trend": 57.048076, "fair_value": 56.88449, "relative_strength": -23.81126, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.018042, "energy": 48.952453, "activity_lines": [ 59.413332, 58.950438, 58.417274, 57.853932 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }