{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dec2c1a6-a0ef-4b0d-a66c-f8c1620642df",
    "symbol": "KMR",
    "name": "Kenmare Resources plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -43.752,
    "architecture_energy": 30.001,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.19,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.346,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.08,
        "rotation_up": 25.2,
        "upward_expansion": 15.42,
        "deceleration": 46.42,
        "rotation_down": 38.49,
        "downward_expansion": 65.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        199.773333,
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        205.360952,
        211.467312
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 210.0,
    "trend_reference": 222.483333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.056109,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 317.283556,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.338131,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.428981,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.135802,
    "excess_performance": -0.187038,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056109,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075016,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.338131,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0438,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22429,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003991,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135802,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.739135,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 170508,
      "relative_activity": 0.426588,
      "balance": 0.739135,
      "dry_up": 0.707961,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072807,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.420647,
      "from_high_reference": -0.391113,
      "from_low_reference": 0.166667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 222.483333,
      "fair_value_reference": 317.283556,
      "structural_low": 180.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.019608,
        "positive_rate": 0.407407,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.592593,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036613,
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        "worst_return": -0.210393,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.146615,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 482840,
        "typical_volume": 472202.15,
        "trend": 227.05,
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        "relative_strength": -30.442604,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 77.670982,
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          192.293333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 192.0,
        "volume": 185649,
        "typical_volume": 463986.55,
        "trend": 225.8,
        "fair_value": 320.016092,
        "relative_strength": -29.772379,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 57.598429,
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          192.146667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 198.0,
        "volume": 292896,
        "typical_volume": 427884.1,
        "trend": 224.066667,
        "fair_value": 318.628944,
        "relative_strength": -27.483367,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.189393,
        "energy": 44.307752,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.533333,
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          205.25619,
          212.374839
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 210.0,
        "volume": 170508,
        "typical_volume": 399701.95,
        "trend": 222.483333,
        "fair_value": 317.283556,
        "relative_strength": -22.428981,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.751622,
        "energy": 30.000507,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}