{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dec68da2-009d-4979-bd72-77d5b102334f", "symbol": "603222", "name": "Chimin Health Management Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.078, "architecture_energy": 25.633, "architecture_maturity": 24.824, "architecture_confidence": 92.246, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.17, "rotation_up": 25.61, "upward_expansion": 7.05, "deceleration": 47.79, "rotation_down": 40.59, "downward_expansion": 71.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.294667, 8.298, 8.669476, 8.86471 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 8.77, "trend_reference": 9.050333, "distance_from_trend": -0.030975, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.883654, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.112428, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.725673, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.044048, "excess_performance": 0.087251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.030975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052288, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.112428, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141863, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.077257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109907, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.556511, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 215281915, "relative_activity": 1.815098, "balance": 0.556511, "dry_up": 1.560239, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149022, "annualized_volatility": 0.663626, "from_high_reference": -0.419205, "from_low_reference": 0.30506 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.050333, "fair_value_reference": 7.883654, "structural_low": 6.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.018676, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.413793, "median_excess_return": 0.001733, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.212888, "worst_return": -0.263024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.040717, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.030425, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.415414, "worst_return": -0.336933, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.110681, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.079385, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.806452, "worst_return": -0.359081, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 22.582431, "activity_lines": [ 8.608667, 8.459273, 8.884429, 9.01129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.16, "volume": 101344610, "typical_volume": 111391253.45, "trend": 9.062333, "fair_value": 7.891667, "relative_strength": -22.379223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.296577, "energy": 29.093381, "activity_lines": [ 8.189333, 8.208545, 8.696286, 8.88357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.77, "volume": 215281915, "typical_volume": 118606210.65, "trend": 9.050333, "fair_value": 7.883654, "relative_strength": -7.725673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.077953, "energy": 25.633076, "activity_lines": [ 8.294667, 8.298, 8.669476, 8.86471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }