{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ded206d2-f06b-45c6-8cd4-5ab18265a7c0", "symbol": "SSTRT", "name": "Sub Sri Thai Real Estate Investment Trust", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.125, "architecture_energy": 74.173, "architecture_maturity": 66.319, "architecture_confidence": 59.321, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.03, "rotation_up": 80.31, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 62.5, "rotation_down": 12.92, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.698667, 4.646909, 4.536762, 4.464473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.76, "trend_reference": 4.370155, "distance_from_trend": 0.089206, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.231215, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.124972, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.489524, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.151485, "excess_performance": -0.04084, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089206, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041248, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.124972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102877, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.034895, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071197, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.151485, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.04186, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 868200, "relative_activity": 3.899131, "balance": 9.04186, "dry_up": 2.628163, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015514, "annualized_volatility": 0.071052, "from_high_reference": -0.004184, "from_low_reference": 0.201549 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.370155, "fair_value_reference": 4.231215, "structural_low": 4.152931, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.008333, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": 0.010106, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.058559, "worst_return": -0.046729, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.008475, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.002633, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.052934, "worst_return": -0.046591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.008696, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.074401, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.061857, "worst_return": -0.036697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.230319, "energy": 96.366662, "activity_lines": [ 4.636, 4.555273, 4.454381, 4.394364 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.66, "volume": 344000, "typical_volume": 181045.0, "trend": 4.331103, "fair_value": 4.225566, "relative_strength": -7.595313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.349617, "energy": 89.244673, "activity_lines": [ 4.658667, 4.585455, 4.480667, 4.416756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.66, "volume": 114600, "typical_volume": 180415.0, "trend": 4.349282, "fair_value": 4.228445, "relative_strength": -6.297302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.373971, "energy": 77.747586, "activity_lines": [ 4.666667, 4.609818, 4.504952, 4.437976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.76, "volume": 868200, "typical_volume": 222665.0, "trend": 4.370155, "fair_value": 4.231215, "relative_strength": -3.489524, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.125268, "energy": 74.172783, "activity_lines": [ 4.698667, 4.646909, 4.536762, 4.464473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }