{ "ticker": { "uuid": "deda554e-8e18-42ac-96af-80b9616f60ec", "symbol": "EX15", "name": "iShares II Public Limited Company - iShares MSCI Europe UCITS ETF EUR (Dist)", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.889, "architecture_energy": 72.498, "architecture_maturity": 41.242, "architecture_confidence": 74.601, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 64.01, "upward_expansion": 86.77, "deceleration": 54.46, "rotation_down": 23.04, "downward_expansion": 13.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.706667, 40.447728, 39.705053, 39.075237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.32, "trend_reference": 38.41796, "distance_from_trend": 0.075539, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.356836, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27701, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.573947, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095942, "excess_performance": -0.078305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075539, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040834, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.27701, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066608, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085739, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006234, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095942, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.187836, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.187836, "dry_up": 0.157278, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017799, "annualized_volatility": 0.15379, "from_high_reference": -0.003257, "from_low_reference": 0.245008 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.41796, "fair_value_reference": 32.356836, "structural_low": 34.398974, "invalidation": "A 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"relative_strength": -10.151627, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.983359, "energy": 81.384309, "activity_lines": [ 39.568001, 39.099499, 38.381265, 38.04415 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 40.875, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1495.95, "trend": 37.704878, "fair_value": 31.915241, "relative_strength": -9.70195, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.969285, "energy": 91.816116, "activity_lines": [ 40.058334, 39.496896, 38.658628, 38.260345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 40.18, "volume": 1506, "typical_volume": 1571.25, "trend": 37.86375, "fair_value": 32.002226, "relative_strength": -9.817892, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.989718, "energy": 84.847575, "activity_lines": [ 40.193334, 39.710785, 38.85507, 38.42003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.16, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1544.0, "trend": 38.002223, "fair_value": 32.087462, "relative_strength": -7.876448, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.429589, "energy": 81.874322, "activity_lines": [ 40.236333, 39.877249, 39.042284, 38.568175 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.380001, "volume": 170, "typical_volume": 1552.5, "trend": 38.146057, "fair_value": 32.171928, "relative_strength": -8.403587, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.573665, "energy": 77.817024, "activity_lines": [ 40.310334, 40.041546, 39.244634, 38.72158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.59, "volume": 753, "typical_volume": 1508.15, "trend": 38.282257, "fair_value": 32.26213, "relative_strength": -7.698421, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.61574, "energy": 61.456588, "activity_lines": [ 40.412334, 40.193273, 39.4495, 38.879254 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.32, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1467.15, "trend": 38.41796, "fair_value": 32.356836, "relative_strength": -8.573947, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.888865, "energy": 72.497569, "activity_lines": [ 40.706667, 40.447728, 39.705053, 39.075237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }