{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dedc98e3-da7b-46e4-8717-113d9530a4d3",
    "symbol": "002430",
    "name": "Hangzhou Oxygen Plant Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -62.242,
    "architecture_energy": 71.168,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.593,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.113,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.81,
        "rotation_up": 10.81,
        "upward_expansion": 16.2,
        "deceleration": 37.51,
        "rotation_down": 70.29,
        "downward_expansion": 89.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.653333,
        24.768335,
        25.949766,
        26.982126
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.99,
    "trend_reference": 28.471958,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.157417,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 24.991173,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040061,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -15.475999,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.230103,
    "excess_performance": -0.237502,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157417,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038965,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040061,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.189636,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.15476,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084492,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.230103,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.443738,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 79169423,
      "relative_activity": 0.924217,
      "balance": 0.443738,
      "dry_up": 1.113531,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.105701,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.438087,
      "from_high_reference": -0.309243,
      "from_low_reference": 0.097367
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28.471958,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.991173,
      "structural_low": 22.08,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.028332,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000414,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.163696,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.061983,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.355094,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.000399,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.071575,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.074222,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.250854,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 86298107.85,
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        "fair_value": 25.084262,
        "relative_strength": -15.771947,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.99,
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        "typical_volume": 85584207.0,
        "trend": 28.667958,
        "fair_value": 25.032662,
        "relative_strength": -14.90747,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.383437,
        "energy": 73.826698,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.99,
        "volume": 79169423,
        "typical_volume": 85661035.45,
        "trend": 28.471958,
        "fair_value": 24.991173,
        "relative_strength": -15.475999,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}