{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dee66e12-3ae6-4174-81d9-fb8aa8128ca8", "symbol": "603901", "name": "Hangzhou Youngsun Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.479, "architecture_energy": 81.038, "architecture_maturity": 43.411, "architecture_confidence": 89.692, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 11.37, "upward_expansion": 19.75, "deceleration": 37.79, "rotation_down": 72.86, "downward_expansion": 93.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.274, 9.746909, 10.583789, 11.212094 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.55, "trend_reference": 12.206559, "distance_from_trend": -0.217634, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.261142, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.069304, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.007431, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.352981, "excess_performance": -0.309777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.217634, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080224, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.069304, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.294515, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.210074, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1846, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.352981, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649537, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42698407, "relative_activity": 0.987199, "balance": 0.649537, "dry_up": 1.113213, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09975, "annualized_volatility": 0.467363, "from_high_reference": -0.416972, "from_low_reference": 0.116959 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.206559, "fair_value_reference": 10.261142, "structural_low": 8.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.035071, "positive_rate": 0.269231, "directional_follow_through": 0.730769, "median_excess_return": -0.021513, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.108934, "worst_return": -0.1917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.08444, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.056046, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.452579, "worst_return": -0.250487, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.065671, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037688, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.148499, "worst_return": -0.358632, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-20.200249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.159979, "energy": 63.674344, "activity_lines": [ 10.174667, 10.572669, 11.264124, 11.870352 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.61, "volume": 49310096, "typical_volume": 42199248.3, "trend": 12.517892, "fair_value": 10.317473, "relative_strength": -26.849853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.471816, "energy": 73.075962, "activity_lines": [ 9.591333, 10.132538, 10.967664, 11.607542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.2, "volume": 40873776, "typical_volume": 42546405.2, "trend": 12.361559, "fair_value": 10.285845, "relative_strength": -21.958989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.90778, "energy": 85.038765, "activity_lines": [ 9.349333, 9.878174, 10.749917, 11.393485 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.55, "volume": 42698407, "typical_volume": 43252092.95, "trend": 12.206559, "fair_value": 10.261142, "relative_strength": -21.007431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.478675, "energy": 81.037766, "activity_lines": [ 9.274, 9.746909, 10.583789, 11.212094 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }