{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dee9e9ce-e99f-4d11-b51e-5653caa363fc", "symbol": "YUBICO", "name": "Yubico AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.557, "architecture_energy": 88.18, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 69.412, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.03, "rotation_up": 82.62, "upward_expansion": 94.71, "deceleration": 41.93, "rotation_down": 9.54, "downward_expansion": 19.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.216668, 65.770909, 60.678619, 57.109204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 88.650002, "trend_reference": 55.48, "distance_from_trend": 0.597873, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 151.762628, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.415864, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.009847, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.443811, "excess_performance": 0.382317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.597873, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104993, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.415864, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237213, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010098, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.516311, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.443811, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.505033, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5679600, "relative_activity": 2.848301, "balance": 1.505033, "dry_up": 1.027765, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093106, "annualized_volatility": 0.902417, "from_high_reference": -0.400608, "from_low_reference": 2.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.48, "fair_value_reference": 151.762628, "structural_low": 29.549999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.011479, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": 0.019861, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.498647, "worst_return": -0.202709, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.003131, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.063601, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.519013, "worst_return": -0.16113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.261964, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.2292, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.813261, "worst_return": -0.083955, "sufficient": false }, { 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58.409999, 58.560909, 53.861524, 53.521247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.349998, "volume": 786405, "typical_volume": 1789745.25, "trend": 55.692333, "fair_value": 152.323846, "relative_strength": -27.698245, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.268611, "energy": 47.504149, "activity_lines": [ 60.643332, 59.613636, 55.181333, 54.054064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.950001, "volume": 840889, "typical_volume": 1776925.8, "trend": 55.160667, "fair_value": 152.073526, "relative_strength": -31.050302, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.704059, "energy": 44.197629, "activity_lines": [ 61.243333, 59.854545, 56.114047, 54.393269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.450001, "volume": 890689, "typical_volume": 1767090.95, "trend": 54.842333, "fair_value": 151.839231, "relative_strength": -27.63984, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.574572, "energy": 57.763305, "activity_lines": [ 62.233334, 60.485454, 57.230809, 54.928064 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.650002, "volume": 5679600, "typical_volume": 1994030.5, "trend": 55.48, "fair_value": 151.762628, "relative_strength": 1.009847, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.557142, "energy": 88.179537, "activity_lines": [ 71.216668, 65.770909, 60.678619, 57.109204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }