{ "ticker": { "uuid": "deed24e5-e57f-4328-9d92-1a0f9832ed5a", "symbol": "G07", "name": "Great Eastern Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.417, "architecture_energy": 97.682, "architecture_maturity": 52.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.172, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.16, "rotation_up": 90.41, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.0, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.909333, 19.225818, 17.736004, 17.093076 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 21.92, "trend_reference": 16.38586, "distance_from_trend": 0.337739, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.212272, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140937, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.72811, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.425496, "excess_performance": 0.270661, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.337739, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067985, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140937, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.314224, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.187281, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.329099, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.425496, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.577401, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 456300, "relative_activity": 1.968507, "balance": 8.577401, "dry_up": 2.625431, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036672, "annualized_volatility": 0.208358, "from_high_reference": -0.041958, "from_low_reference": 0.777341 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.38586, "fair_value_reference": 19.212272, "structural_low": 15.21028, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.00452, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.448618, "worst_return": -0.012454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.025302, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.018462, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.428349, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.192692, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.138949, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.464489, "worst_return": -0.491124, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 9.766561, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 99.649952, "energy": 99.520388, "activity_lines": [ 17.474, 16.776545, 16.273553, 16.046009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.379999, "volume": 570200, "typical_volume": 193070.0, "trend": 15.935034, "fair_value": 19.147823, "relative_strength": 13.771854, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 99.683921, "energy": 99.832494, "activity_lines": [ 18.612666, 17.508909, 16.692876, 16.344363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.780001, "volume": 665300, "typical_volume": 217050.0, "trend": 16.159913, "fair_value": 19.17937, "relative_strength": 20.087783, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 99.136555, "energy": 99.671279, "activity_lines": [ 19.925333, 18.409455, 17.222831, 16.721457 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.92, "volume": 456300, "typical_volume": 231800.0, "trend": 16.38586, "fair_value": 19.212272, "relative_strength": 18.72811, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.417139, "energy": 97.681965, "activity_lines": [ 20.909333, 19.225818, 17.736004, 17.093076 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }