{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df0be3f6-df54-44c7-a372-e82a401bebb4", "symbol": "WCM-A", "name": "Wilmington Capital Management Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.158, "architecture_energy": 84.289, "architecture_maturity": 50.77, "architecture_confidence": 83.161, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.27, "rotation_up": 45.17, "upward_expansion": 75.5, "deceleration": 50.0, "rotation_down": 29.98, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.75, 2.680952, 2.620323 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 2.75, "trend_reference": 2.565, "distance_from_trend": 0.072125, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.426813, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133173, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.541403, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.1, "excess_performance": -0.020421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072125, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041413, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.133173, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081474, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035414, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046402, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17000, "relative_activity": 4.438642, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.109661, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008951, "annualized_volatility": 0.283225, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.341463 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.565, "fair_value_reference": 2.426813, "structural_low": 2.05, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.002, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.038318, "regime_survival": 0.55, "best_return": 0.168966, "worst_return": -0.148889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.063474, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.498674, "worst_return": -0.133333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.098823, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.138566, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.398762, "worst_return": -0.23, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.079913, "positive_rate": 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"date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4520.0, "trend": 2.496667, "fair_value": 2.396653, "relative_strength": -0.854359, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.256456, "energy": 90.499414, "activity_lines": [ 2.735333, 2.654727, 2.56619, 2.533548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4515.0, "trend": 2.508333, "fair_value": 2.40168, "relative_strength": -1.4388, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.967608, "energy": 87.656601, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.682727, 2.589762, 2.549892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3865.0, "trend": 2.52, "fair_value": 2.406706, "relative_strength": -1.427827, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.959946, "energy": 87.716843, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.706727, 2.612095, 2.565484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3230.0, "trend": 2.531667, "fair_value": 2.411733, "relative_strength": -1.162423, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.765941, "energy": 87.531638, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.724364, 2.632524, 2.580323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3180.0, "trend": 2.543333, "fair_value": 2.41676, "relative_strength": -1.480628, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.241075, "energy": 86.564442, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.737455, 2.65081, 2.594409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3180.0, "trend": 2.555, "fair_value": 2.421786, "relative_strength": -0.731019, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.062602, "energy": 86.508807, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.746, 2.666952, 2.607742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.75, "volume": 17000, "typical_volume": 3830.0, "trend": 2.565, "fair_value": 2.426813, "relative_strength": -3.541403, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.158348, "energy": 84.28891, "activity_lines": [ 2.75, 2.75, 2.680952, 2.620323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }