{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "df105a64-12e9-4a26-a393-f107b6e58e29",
    "symbol": "BPN",
    "name": "BP p.l.c.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 59.621,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -6.245,
    "architecture_energy": 19.871,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.015,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.696,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.35,
        "rotation_up": 43.07,
        "upward_expansion": 30.6,
        "deceleration": 52.97,
        "rotation_down": 18.45,
        "downward_expansion": 23.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        725.585344,
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        740.270519
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 722.880005,
    "trend_reference": 732.168378,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012686,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 643.341344,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.123634,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.111157,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0716,
    "excess_performance": 0.126267,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012686,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032751,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123634,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.154305,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021112,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091295,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0716,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.492408,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 118,
      "relative_activity": 0.458965,
      "balance": 0.492408,
      "dry_up": 0.246986,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040386,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.309237,
      "from_high_reference": -0.154005,
      "from_low_reference": 0.201437
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 732.168378,
      "fair_value_reference": 643.341344,
      "structural_low": 642.124207,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.001748,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012825,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.124525,
        "worst_return": -0.033708,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.055938,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048486,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.095794,
        "worst_return": -0.079495,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.08954,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.069717,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.003395,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.200637,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.058158,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 60.443789,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -8.500871,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 640.566269,
        "relative_strength": -2.099563,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 72.779264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 718.200012,
        "volume": 127,
        "typical_volume": 462.45,
        "trend": 719.39742,
        "fair_value": 641.229611,
        "relative_strength": 2.13682,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.20398,
        "energy": 67.290089,
        "activity_lines": [
          688.866671,
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          738.859463
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 735.140015,
        "volume": 9,
        "typical_volume": 440.95,
        "trend": 723.762889,
        "fair_value": 642.002495,
        "relative_strength": 4.849305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.421986,
        "energy": 38.718124,
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          704.833342,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 735.140015,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 416.05,
        "trend": 728.128357,
        "fair_value": 642.711839,
        "relative_strength": 3.916606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.357259,
        "energy": 15.545202,
        "activity_lines": [
          719.524011,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 722.880005,
        "volume": 118,
        "typical_volume": 257.1,
        "trend": 732.168378,
        "fair_value": 643.341344,
        "relative_strength": 2.111157,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -6.245119,
        "energy": 19.871496,
        "activity_lines": [
          725.585344,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}