{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df112371-e4af-44c2-a5a1-bf09464065d8", "symbol": "2012", "name": "Chun Yu Works & Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 63.203, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.411, "architecture_energy": 19.14, "architecture_maturity": 26.335, "architecture_confidence": 55.586, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.94, "rotation_up": 17.88, "upward_expansion": 20.74, "deceleration": 58.02, "rotation_down": 47.91, "downward_expansion": 57.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.213333, 15.390909, 15.209048, 15.306452 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 15.0, "trend_reference": 15.606667, "distance_from_trend": -0.038872, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.007639, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250286, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.979684, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.120235, "excess_performance": -0.465967, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.038872, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005628, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.250286, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064903, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.319797, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12513, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.120235, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.418498, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 335154, "relative_activity": 0.761696, "balance": 5.418498, "dry_up": 0.685215, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061538, "annualized_volatility": 0.288983, "from_high_reference": -0.180328, "from_low_reference": 0.079137 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.606667, "fair_value_reference": 20.007639, "structural_low": 13.9, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.013566, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.01057, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.062551, "worst_return": -0.144351, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.041, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.005618, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.077605, "worst_return": -0.187984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.058586, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.011694, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.241685, "worst_return": -0.162, "sufficient": 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15.157619, 15.434409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.75, "volume": 204393, "typical_volume": 478233.15, "trend": 15.786667, "fair_value": 20.210913, "relative_strength": -30.449763, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.627308, "energy": 18.671224, "activity_lines": [ 15.71, 15.369091, 15.200238, 15.433763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.85, "volume": 302118, "typical_volume": 468541.8, "trend": 15.805, "fair_value": 20.162764, "relative_strength": -28.060821, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.244175, "energy": 14.564632, "activity_lines": [ 15.756667, 15.511818, 15.257143, 15.437849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.05, "volume": 310797, "typical_volume": 434921.55, "trend": 15.746667, "fair_value": 20.109486, "relative_strength": -32.353148, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.127646, "energy": 9.696459, "activity_lines": [ 15.5, 15.479091, 15.234048, 15.38914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 15.15, "volume": 257937, "typical_volume": 433457.05, "trend": 15.685, "fair_value": 20.05685, "relative_strength": -33.22733, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.540712, "energy": 11.493613, "activity_lines": [ 15.363333, 15.453636, 15.227143, 15.350645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 15.0, "volume": 335154, "typical_volume": 440010.35, "trend": 15.606667, "fair_value": 20.007639, "relative_strength": -31.979684, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.411283, "energy": 19.140387, "activity_lines": [ 15.213333, 15.390909, 15.209048, 15.306452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }