{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df17f122-ed68-4d00-9f04-7288c78010cd", "symbol": "4002", "name": "Mouwasat Medical Services Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.27, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.534, "architecture_energy": 50.128, "architecture_maturity": 21.074, "architecture_confidence": 88.028, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.55, "rotation_up": 19.77, "upward_expansion": 7.19, "deceleration": 50.31, "rotation_down": 58.96, "downward_expansion": 80.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.063334, 62.432727, 63.967643, 64.941345 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 63.5, "trend_reference": 65.787651, "distance_from_trend": -0.034773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 85.75884, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.259552, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.883412, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.038023, "excess_performance": -0.006194, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024933, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.259552, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000681, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048834, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002321, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038023, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.518483, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1980060, "relative_activity": 1.262564, "balance": 0.518483, "dry_up": 0.950517, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034403, "annualized_volatility": 0.214986, "from_high_reference": -0.178925, "from_low_reference": 0.100573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.787651, "fair_value_reference": 85.75884, 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66.434423, "fair_value": 87.172154, "relative_strength": -7.975122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.980941, "energy": 75.302262, "activity_lines": [ 63.123333, 64.103636, 65.702968, 66.074508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.900002, "volume": 1495796, "typical_volume": 1710859.25, "trend": 66.195229, "fair_value": 86.850586, "relative_strength": -8.738364, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.164482, "energy": 82.628852, "activity_lines": [ 62.2, 63.400909, 65.172765, 65.717448 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.25, "volume": 1121379, "typical_volume": 1638337.4, "trend": 65.954044, "fair_value": 86.503386, "relative_strength": -9.964625, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.407226, "energy": 86.363354, "activity_lines": [ 61.31, 62.680909, 64.588828, 65.333885 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.200001, "volume": 1365492, "typical_volume": 1538003.2, "trend": 65.830325, "fair_value": 86.134101, "relative_strength": -4.930175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.905986, "energy": 78.456231, "activity_lines": [ 61.443334, 62.402727, 64.201638, 65.091689 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.5, "volume": 1980060, "typical_volume": 1568284.9, "trend": 65.787651, "fair_value": 85.75884, "relative_strength": -4.883412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.53398, "energy": 50.127718, "activity_lines": [ 62.063334, 62.432727, 63.967643, 64.941345 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }