{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "df1ec155-2946-4e5f-aaa1-6e79179f251b",
    "symbol": "FIX",
    "name": "Comfort Systems USA Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.758,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 8.997,
    "architecture_energy": 11.278,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.651,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.312,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 64.16,
        "rotation_up": 18.03,
        "upward_expansion": 40.34,
        "deceleration": 86.93,
        "rotation_down": 33.51,
        "downward_expansion": 32.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1713.101333,
        1750.205091,
        1784.40721,
        1717.937426
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1694.55,
    "trend_reference": 1597.476876,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060767,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 659.072076,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.571115,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 18.662815,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.378699,
    "excess_performance": 0.253074,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060767,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208196,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.571115,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.169498,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186628,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.621654,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.378699,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.784945,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2119592,
      "relative_activity": 0.946918,
      "balance": 0.784945,
      "dry_up": 1.180032,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124658,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.390792,
      "from_high_reference": -0.182623,
      "from_low_reference": 1.587482
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1597.476876,
      "fair_value_reference": 659.072076,
      "structural_low": 1217.894274,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.037673,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007811,
        "regime_survival": 0.55,
        "best_return": 0.24833,
        "worst_return": -0.107446,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.162217,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068441,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.282534,
        "worst_return": -0.338115,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.233914,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.156446,
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        "worst_return": -0.100064,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 1.002647,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.793131,
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        "best_return": 1.394486,
        "worst_return": 0.110444,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.095451,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.007526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.100387,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.168105,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": 0.134677,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1694.55,
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        "typical_volume": 2238412.4,
        "trend": 1597.476876,
        "fair_value": 659.072076,
        "relative_strength": 18.662815,
        "stage": 2,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}