{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df2029b2-8901-4f9e-9d2e-f91375641783", "symbol": "002230", "name": "iFLYTEK CO.,LTD", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.628, "architecture_energy": 34.437, "architecture_maturity": 81.868, "architecture_confidence": 59.122, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.18, "rotation_up": 24.5, "upward_expansion": 16.0, "deceleration": 66.57, "rotation_down": 39.27, "downward_expansion": 63.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.9, 41.637166, 43.376407, 45.263348 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 43.529999, "trend_reference": 48.480371, "distance_from_trend": -0.102111, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.536305, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.084279, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.609388, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.269631, "excess_performance": -0.277031, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102111, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055313, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.084279, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094769, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.156094, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04641, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.269631, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.891985, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 328417406, "relative_activity": 1.765328, "balance": 1.891985, "dry_up": 1.309506, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082685, "annualized_volatility": 0.376452, "from_high_reference": -0.355111, "from_low_reference": 0.129183 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.480371, "fair_value_reference": 47.536305, "structural_low": 38.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.014497, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.015088, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.404089, "worst_return": -0.202242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.048078, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.074598, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.745039, "worst_return": -0.225352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.011111, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028381, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.944594, "worst_return": -0.219249, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.698938, "energy": 65.927178, "activity_lines": [ 41.567533, 42.96743, 45.092334, 47.242842 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.119999, "volume": 230413004, "typical_volume": 178304657.55, "trend": 49.257038, "fair_value": 48.035182, "relative_strength": -18.639383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.429364, "energy": 54.798215, "activity_lines": [ 41.518123, 42.358864, 44.536709, 46.69942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.880001, "volume": 199758571, "typical_volume": 176587658.15, "trend": 48.926371, "fair_value": 47.846606, "relative_strength": -22.828535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.619432, "energy": 55.506088, "activity_lines": [ 40.667147, 41.502844, 43.837751, 46.029934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.220001, "volume": 215880936, "typical_volume": 177590267.95, "trend": 48.705705, "fair_value": 47.669358, "relative_strength": -14.367544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.437405, "energy": 43.189172, "activity_lines": [ 41.171593, 41.404278, 43.521889, 45.597265 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.529999, "volume": 328417406, "typical_volume": 186037662.75, "trend": 48.480371, "fair_value": 47.536305, "relative_strength": -15.609388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.628494, "energy": 34.437065, "activity_lines": [ 41.9, 41.637166, 43.376407, 45.263348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }