{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "df2196fc-6a30-4c94-aebe-1b7cf55b7a62",
    "symbol": "XML",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Min Vol EAFE Index ETF (CAD-Hedged)",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 62.183,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.0,
    "architecture_energy": 92.995,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.399,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.651,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.54,
        "rotation_up": 87.28,
        "upward_expansion": 99.84,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.02,
        "downward_expansion": 21.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.015334,
        33.501799,
        33.087355,
        33.01873
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 34.290001,
    "trend_reference": 32.892315,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.042493,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.992091,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.224989,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.530473,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.043518,
    "excess_performance": -0.076903,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042493,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020773,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.224989,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039766,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045305,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035614,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043518,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.842105,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1300,
      "relative_activity": 1.125541,
      "balance": 3.842105,
      "dry_up": 1.190476,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013385,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.107824,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00551,
      "from_low_reference": 0.152451
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.892315,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.992091,
      "structural_low": 32.031067,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.011149,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00169,
        "regime_survival": 0.780488,
        "best_return": 0.043274,
        "worst_return": -0.037323,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.015445,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018038,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.081103,
        "worst_return": -0.051378,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.059034,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008608,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.053263,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.022006,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 32.602173,
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        "typical_volume": 4090.0,
        "trend": 31.88048,
        "fair_value": 27.021089,
        "relative_strength": -7.094024,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.003441,
        "energy": 48.307694,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 32.464321,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 4100.0,
        "trend": 31.957,
        "fair_value": 27.083093,
        "relative_strength": -7.094199,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 37.785552,
        "energy": 27.279442,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 32.168919,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 4020.0,
        "trend": 32.019394,
        "fair_value": 27.141666,
        "relative_strength": -8.09186,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.922175,
        "energy": 14.308909,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 32.336315,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 4025.0,
        "trend": 32.093293,
        "fair_value": 27.200722,
        "relative_strength": -6.657576,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.061619,
        "energy": 23.258506,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 32.651405,
        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 3990.0,
        "trend": 32.158602,
        "fair_value": 27.264221,
        "relative_strength": -7.166269,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.635501,
        "energy": 21.170103,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 32.375702,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 3505.0,
        "trend": 32.222951,
        "fair_value": 27.326957,
        "relative_strength": -8.400724,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.019676,
        "energy": 17.388521,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.419682,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 32.031067,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 3165.0,
        "trend": 32.272191,
        "fair_value": 27.386834,
        "relative_strength": -8.110559,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -13.564489,
        "energy": 32.943584,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.296927,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 32.690792,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 2865.0,
        "trend": 32.328281,
        "fair_value": 27.449462,
        "relative_strength": -7.315389,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.550322,
        "energy": 10.825853,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 32.178768,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2570.0,
        "trend": 32.383102,
        "fair_value": 27.510344,
        "relative_strength": -8.527394,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.001926,
        "energy": 22.342392,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.343535,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 32.43,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 2210.0,
        "trend": 32.42589,
        "fair_value": 27.572291,
        "relative_strength": -7.550831,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.612528,
        "energy": 20.584546,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.358352,
          32.373578,
          32.622626,
          32.624016
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 32.790001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1940.0,
        "trend": 32.485286,
        "fair_value": 27.638947,
        "relative_strength": -6.950935,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -0.298272,
        "energy": 5.59979,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.507931,
          32.44577,
          32.6182,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.02,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 1565.0,
        "trend": 32.553995,
        "fair_value": 27.706717,
        "relative_strength": -6.178742,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.86899,
        "energy": 20.610636,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.706555,
          32.556364,
          32.637964,
          32.682005
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.52,
        "volume": 1700,
        "typical_volume": 1570.0,
        "trend": 32.63147,
        "fair_value": 27.775711,
        "relative_strength": -4.410326,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.268285,
        "energy": 45.513097,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.005918,
          32.747765,
          32.708205,
          32.744327
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.759998,
        "volume": 2000,
        "typical_volume": 1275.0,
        "trend": 32.713982,
        "fair_value": 27.844083,
        "relative_strength": -3.779375,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.437753,
        "energy": 77.926319,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.329999,
          32.958236,
          32.803826,
          32.817136
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.360001,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 1290.0,
        "trend": 32.811315,
        "fair_value": 27.919362,
        "relative_strength": -1.452437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.670704,
        "energy": 92.722687,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.748667,
          33.251914,
          32.9524,
          32.923331
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.290001,
        "volume": 1300,
        "typical_volume": 1155.0,
        "trend": 32.892315,
        "fair_value": 27.992091,
        "relative_strength": -4.530473,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.999567,
        "energy": 92.994671,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.015334,
          33.501799,
          33.087355,
          33.01873
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}