{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df21a01a-0218-4002-b9b5-99e173f250e8", "symbol": "COUR", "name": "Coursera, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.662, "architecture_energy": 55.797, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.283, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.51, "rotation_up": 29.85, "upward_expansion": 10.74, "deceleration": 58.17, "rotation_down": 40.79, "downward_expansion": 72.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.0, 92.078182, 93.353905, 97.041333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 92.0, "trend_reference": 104.821, "distance_from_trend": -0.122313, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 272.193782, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.662006, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.236541, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.318519, "excess_performance": -0.263852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122313, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186158, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.662006, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017442, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.372365, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061753, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.318519, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.114145, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.114145, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027826, "annualized_volatility": 0.436959, "from_high_reference": -0.581818, "from_low_reference": 0.019956 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.821, "fair_value_reference": 272.193782, "structural_low": 90.199997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.105263, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.005595, "regime_survival": 0.947368, "best_return": 0.466667, "worst_return": -0.548193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.174121, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.146506, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.466667, "worst_return": -0.548193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.373724, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.380285, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.020667, "worst_return": -0.554896, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.958808, "energy": 62.747832, "activity_lines": [ 92.0, 92.183636, 93.715, 97.986559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1739.55, "trend": 104.821, "fair_value": 272.193782, "relative_strength": -37.236541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.661959, "energy": 55.796934, "activity_lines": [ 92.0, 92.078182, 93.353905, 97.041333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }