{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df21e009-266e-484b-866e-ce3111815131", "symbol": "2025", "name": "Chien Shing Stainless Steel Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 86.406, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -2.503, "architecture_energy": 6.504, "architecture_maturity": 15.993, "architecture_confidence": 38.718, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.15, "rotation_up": 21.7, "upward_expansion": 24.28, "deceleration": 64.75, "rotation_down": 42.81, "downward_expansion": 28.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.2, 12.360909, 12.432619, 12.271935 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.6, "trend_reference": 12.226667, "distance_from_trend": 0.030534, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.92883, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.095401, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.167359, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.045643, "excess_performance": -0.395729, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030534, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085978, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.095401, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018439, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.211674, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133959, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045643, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.51723, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4921822, "relative_activity": 1.903741, "balance": 4.51723, "dry_up": 1.037018, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106532, "annualized_volatility": 0.407577, "from_high_reference": -0.205047, "from_low_reference": 0.441648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.226667, "fair_value_reference": 13.92883, "structural_low": 10.35, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.070539, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.093572, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.008368, "worst_return": -0.194719, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.145473, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.108348, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.09205, "worst_return": -0.198895, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.225548, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.274953, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.06988, "worst_return": -0.381215, "sufficient": false }, { 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"stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.423057, "energy": 13.774375, "activity_lines": [ 12.466667, 12.812727, 12.426429, 12.262129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.7, "volume": 1716627, "typical_volume": 2372955.65, "trend": 12.074, "fair_value": 13.742398, "relative_strength": -25.98598, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.703728, "energy": 16.893613, "activity_lines": [ 12.08, 12.618182, 12.390714, 12.242624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.15, "volume": 2744744, "typical_volume": 2477850.75, "trend": 12.171667, "fair_value": 13.803581, "relative_strength": -21.197371, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.07165, "energy": 14.34173, "activity_lines": [ 12.003333, 12.503636, 12.39619, 12.247527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.15, "volume": 1340991, "typical_volume": 2496818.95, "trend": 12.2, "fair_value": 13.864763, "relative_strength": -22.247232, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -9.023818, "energy": 15.406857, "activity_lines": [ 11.976667, 12.393636, 12.394286, 12.246129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.6, "volume": 4921822, "typical_volume": 2585342.7, "trend": 12.226667, "fair_value": 13.92883, "relative_strength": -21.167359, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.502759, "energy": 6.503954, "activity_lines": [ 12.2, 12.360909, 12.432619, 12.271935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }