{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "df257871-708b-4978-9248-b17fa121c939",
    "symbol": "RUS",
    "name": "Russel Metals Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 96.512,
    "architecture_energy": 95.439,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.283,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 87.35,
        "upward_expansion": 96.29,
        "deceleration": 42.65,
        "rotation_down": 8.68,
        "downward_expansion": 20.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        72.693999,
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        64.189775,
        60.235073
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 80.959999,
    "trend_reference": 55.525012,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.458082,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.599471,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.946179,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 47.518861,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.665803,
    "excess_performance": 0.545382,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.458082,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17546,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.946179,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.492598,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.475189,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.31657,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.665803,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.089678,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1125900,
      "relative_activity": 1.375615,
      "balance": 4.089678,
      "dry_up": 1.389452,
      "accumulation_observations": 7,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048841,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.348567,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00111,
      "from_low_reference": 1.126759
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 55.525012,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.599471,
      "structural_low": 44.300969,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": 0.013001,
        "positive_rate": 0.580645,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.580645,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013745,
        "regime_survival": 0.741935,
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        "worst_return": -0.123586,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.160082,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.123486,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 24.438831,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 865580.0,
        "trend": 51.718144,
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        "relative_strength": 24.196789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.499114,
        "energy": 69.868889,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 70.019997,
        "volume": 1049300,
        "typical_volume": 833245.0,
        "trend": 52.611526,
        "fair_value": 40.85684,
        "relative_strength": 34.415476,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.04976,
        "energy": 74.436284,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.043999,
          63.516597,
          59.606665,
          56.463726
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 70.699997,
        "volume": 1010200,
        "typical_volume": 829900.0,
        "trend": 53.521342,
        "fair_value": 41.090039,
        "relative_strength": 34.54456,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.467012,
        "energy": 77.822875,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.327998,
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          61.02841,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.260002,
        "volume": 1363500,
        "typical_volume": 834245.0,
        "trend": 54.331253,
        "fair_value": 41.301756,
        "relative_strength": 27.938862,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.628912,
        "energy": 75.994184,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.976666,
          65.723091,
          62.007582,
          58.517089
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 80.959999,
        "volume": 1125900,
        "typical_volume": 818470.0,
        "trend": 55.525012,
        "fair_value": 41.599471,
        "relative_strength": 47.518861,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.511905,
        "energy": 95.439347,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.693999,
          68.739818,
          64.189775,
          60.235073
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}