{ "ticker": { "uuid": "df2b1154-38a9-4535-a300-b1ff7f20be54", "symbol": "603183", "name": "Suzhou Institute of Building Science Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.138, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -8.252, "architecture_energy": 12.037, "architecture_maturity": 64.008, "architecture_confidence": 52.6, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.36, "rotation_up": 36.15, "upward_expansion": 22.09, "deceleration": 40.86, "rotation_down": 15.26, "downward_expansion": 51.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.251333, 4.091091, 4.17027, 4.282396 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.59, "trend_reference": 4.411124, "distance_from_trend": 0.040551, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.119678, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114165, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.885411, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.020144, "excess_performance": 0.02306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040551, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038896, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114165, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058398, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.038854, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036833, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.020144, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.424096, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 115739340, "relative_activity": 1.504619, "balance": 1.424096, "dry_up": 1.690889, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093992, "annualized_volatility": 0.446147, "from_high_reference": -0.08273, "from_low_reference": 0.318966 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.411124, "fair_value_reference": 4.119678, "structural_low": 3.48, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.019169, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.010264, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.201342, "worst_return": -0.37395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044776, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.055769, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.28859, "worst_return": -0.37395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.017044, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.009484, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.364504, "worst_return": -0.193277, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-6.461577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.528495, "energy": 32.906844, "activity_lines": [ 3.980667, 3.961335, 4.19406, 4.316826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.02, "volume": 133223864, "typical_volume": 71695649.8, "trend": 4.409445, "fair_value": 4.125726, "relative_strength": -6.486684, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.862901, "energy": 21.61926, "activity_lines": [ 4.028, 3.954628, 4.162189, 4.290851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.09, "volume": 104485568, "typical_volume": 74236961.95, "trend": 4.401618, "fair_value": 4.121225, "relative_strength": -5.00044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.552104, "energy": 22.608124, "activity_lines": [ 4.073333, 3.973455, 4.140672, 4.270242 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.59, "volume": 115739340, "typical_volume": 76922696.45, "trend": 4.411124, "fair_value": 4.119678, "relative_strength": 3.885411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.252232, "energy": 12.037461, "activity_lines": [ 4.251333, 4.091091, 4.17027, 4.282396 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }